Ga election

Discussion in 'Current Events' started by dgrichards, Jan 5, 2021.

  1. PARTIZAN1

    PARTIZAN1 Well-Known Member

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    Ossof losing by 1888
     
  2. DEFinning

    DEFinning Well-Known Member Donor

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    I think both of those fears are unrealistic. Whichever Party is in control will realize that the next election is only 2 yrs away, & would not do anything so out of the mainstream, if it would be wildly unpopular, that it would assure their loss of majority status.

    Banning abortions, based on the Roe v. Wade ruling, would face immediate challenges everywhere as being unconstitutional. I would expect it would be fast-tracked to the Supreme Court, where not even a Trump-loaded Court, could I see, as overturning Roe to, "outright," ban abortion. Since the individual states make their own abortion rules, I don't know what a Republican Congress could possibly do, unless their majority was so great that that they could AMEND THE CONSTITUTION without any bipartisan support. Yes, in that circumstance, I would see your concern as warranted. But that is nothing like the possible bare majority we are looking at here. For that matter, I would doubt there has ever been a 2/3 majority by either party, and definitely not in both chambers of Congress, so your consternation seems ill-founded.

    As to the other example you list, "extreme, complete gun control," would face the same Constitutional roadblock as outright banning of abortions. Would Democrats pass some, constitutional gun control measures, specifically things that have been discussed for years and have consistent, overwhelming popular support? Of that I am certain; and I would guess that this-- giving 70, or 80, or 90% of Americans legislation which they want-- is the extreme radical agenda you so greatly fear that, in comparison, partisan gridlock, preventing effective governance in any other sphere of America's fortunes, is a price you deem well worth paying.
     
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  3. CenterField

    CenterField Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    https://www.nytimes.com/interactive...lts&pgtype=Interactive&region=ReporterUpdates

    CNN has maps, you hover the pointer above the circles for outstanding votes and it tells you the projected total for each candidate. Looking at ALL areas with outstanding votes, it seems almost certain that BOTH Warnock and Ossoff will win, and by more than the recount threshold, and more than the 17,000 outstanding overseas and military votes.

    Seems like Mitch McConnell will lose his majority Senate leader position.
     
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  4. peacelate

    peacelate Banned

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    The 2% doesn't include overseas an military votes.
     
  5. Egoboy

    Egoboy Well-Known Member Donor

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    Kornacki estimates

    20K in DeKalb - Reporting TBD
    ? in Fulton - Reporting TBD - A lot of dropbox votes
    3K in Chatham - Not counting tonite (??) - All Mail in

    Most of the remaining outstanding, in even red counties, is mail in...

    Looking good... On that news, I may call it...
     
  6. Egoboy

    Egoboy Well-Known Member Donor

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    Hmmmm.....
     
  7. Yulee

    Yulee Well-Known Member

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    So does that make Schumer the Leader?
     
  8. DEFinning

    DEFinning Well-Known Member Donor

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    I hope your math is right!!--
    and the CNN maps, as well, of course.
     
    Last edited: Jan 6, 2021
  9. PARTIZAN1

    PARTIZAN1 Well-Known Member

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    Those will be predominately GOP
     
  10. CenterField

    CenterField Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    Dems should pick up a differential of 16,000 more in DeKalb, 9,200 more in Fulton, and 1,000 more in Chatham. Republicans are expected to pick up only 1,000 more in remaining rural counties. That is, Dems are positioned to earn another 25,000 in advantage when the count is over. So this would get Warnock to win by 60,000 votes, and Ossoff by 23,000. There are 17,000 overseas and military ballots, to be counted on Friday, but it would seem like the Dems would be ahead by more than that. And also, in the General Elections, Biden won the combined overseas and military ballots. Seems like military trends Republican but other overseas, like Department of State workers and cosmopolitan expats, lean heavily Dem. But even if they split, so these 17,000 won't move the needle.

    At this point the NYT gives >95% odds of both Dems winning the election!

    So, seems like I was wrong when I predicted the opposite!
     
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  11. Zorro

    Zorro Well-Known Member

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    Yes. It looks to me like we lost both of them.
     
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  12. Matthewthf

    Matthewthf Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    97% reporting.

    Perdue is still ahead.

    Not sure why anyone wants the Democrats in complete controll. That will be a train wreck for sure.
     
  13. PARTIZAN1

    PARTIZAN1 Well-Known Member

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    Wait!
     
  14. peacelate

    peacelate Banned

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    Not enough to overturn the blue counties, and GOP can't rely on the military vote as much as they used to. Also, that 17k is the max amount that can arrive, so will likely be lower.
     
  15. Egoboy

    Egoboy Well-Known Member Donor

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    It would still take a vote, but hard to imagine it wouldn't with the Harris TB vote...

    Lawrence O'Donnell just opined that one brave Republican could cross the aisle to vote for Chuck and avoid the TB vote...

    Lawrence O'Donnell is insane...
     
  16. PARTIZAN1

    PARTIZAN1 Well-Known Member

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    98% state wide vote counted
     
  17. Yulee

    Yulee Well-Known Member

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    And Before Trump there was a R senate, R house. Now thanks to Trump all 3 have switched. Not sure Trump was what the Republican Party needed.
     
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  18. Independent4ever

    Independent4ever Well-Known Member

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    I think the depressed Republican turnout was the reason they lost. Trump sabotaged Mitch
     
  19. PARTIZAN1

    PARTIZAN1 Well-Known Member

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    As it was in Nov.
     
  20. Egoboy

    Egoboy Well-Known Member Donor

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    On behalf of the NYT, I accept your apology.... They had Warnock at 95% about 90 minutes ago...
     
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  21. peacelate

    peacelate Banned

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    Exactly. The votes simply are not there for republicans to win.
     
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  22. VanCleef

    VanCleef Well-Known Member

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    Moodys gives Democrat control a superior economic outlook for 2021+.
     
    Last edited: Jan 6, 2021
  23. PARTIZAN1

    PARTIZAN1 Well-Known Member

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    Yo ladies and gentlemen!

    I suggest we all wait until the Rotund Diva bellows her tunes making this official. That could be 11:00AM tomorrow.
     
  24. Bush Lawyer

    Bush Lawyer Well-Known Member

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  25. EMTdaniel86

    EMTdaniel86 Banned

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    Took this screen shoot around 10:25pm AZ time. Things can change through. But looking at this, at least one dem from GA is going to the senate. the other its is separated by 2k
     

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    Last edited: Jan 6, 2021

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