Lockdowns had little or no impact on COVID-19 deaths, new study shows

Discussion in 'Coronavirus (COVID-19) News' started by sec, Feb 1, 2022.

PF does not allow misinformation. However, please note that posts could occasionally contain content in violation of our policies prior to our staff intervening. We urge you to seek reliable alternate sources to verify information you read in this forum.

  1. 19Crib

    19Crib Well-Known Member Past Donor

    Joined:
    Feb 4, 2021
    Messages:
    5,854
    Likes Received:
    5,734
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Gender:
    Male
    The only thing that went right was demanding the vax companies “get busy on developing a vax or get out of the business”.
    Aside from that, our elected officials did their best.

    And before you blame “Our Gubmint”, ask yourself why we have such lousy leaders, given the plethora of “Speak truth to power media outlets”.
    Covid has been turned into a divisive orgy of character assassination by the media.
     
  2. tharock220

    tharock220 Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jan 20, 2016
    Messages:
    2,822
    Likes Received:
    1,614
    Trophy Points:
    113
    New York essentially locked its people in cages while Florida said "**** it" and let people live their lives. If lockdowns were effective we should be able to predict which state would have had the higher death rate.
     
  3. nopartisanbull

    nopartisanbull Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    May 5, 2018
    Messages:
    7,271
    Likes Received:
    3,278
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Gender:
    Male
    Again, what type of lockdown?

    According to the OP’s researchers, lockdown of non-essential businesses reduced Covid19 mortality by 10.6%
     
  4. gfm7175

    gfm7175 Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Oct 2, 2018
    Messages:
    9,541
    Likes Received:
    4,851
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Gender:
    Male
    Nope... COVID's existence in the patient does not suddenly make COVID an "underlying cause of death". An internet discussion forum friend of mine (with the moniker IBDaMann) has taken the time to explain the COVID-death fraud that's going on... here are his words:

    We don't have a COVID-19 threat. It is a hoax being sustained by a "COVID Death" reporting scam. Here is how it works.

    Step 1. The CDC hijacks the term "Underlying Cause of Death" and uses it to rename "unrelated coincidence." This way, whenever any person who coincidentally might have possibly had some cold or flu symptoms dies of something completely unrelated to COVID-19, the virus can nonetheless be determined to be underlying the cause of death ... not the cause of death but underlying it. Through wordplay, it transforms into the Underlying Cause of Death ... which suddenly makes it a "cause of death." Do you see what they did there? COVID-19 is transformed from "having existed in the patient" to being determined a patient's "cause of death." This is the entry point for the CDC video below. Don't misunderstand, this new term does not replace any other terms; it is simply added to the existing terms Immediate Cause of Death, Conditions Leading to the Immediate Cause of Death and Contributing Factos (which goes in Part II). This term merely serves as the vehicle for getting COVID-19 to be determined to be a cause of death and listed in Section 1 of the death certificate, even when it is an unrelated coincidence.

    Step 2. Medical Examiners are instructed to determine that COVID-19 is the Underlying Cause of Death if there is any unverified reason, anecdotal or otherwise, that the deceased might have possibly exhibited some symptoms that perhaps could be interpreted as having had a cold or the flu. The list of "potential symptoms" is long and any "symptom" on that list can be exhibited by someone who is about to die thus giving all medical examiners a broad mandate to determine that COVID-19 was present and underlying the death.

    Step 3. (This is the point the CDC video begins). Once COVID-19 is officially determined a "cause of death" (even if technically it isn't) COVID-19 can then be listed in Part 1 of the death certificate as a Cause of Death rather than be listed in Part 2 as merely a potential Contributing Factor. The CDC specifies how the death certificate is to be filled out, i.e. with "COVID-19" hard-coded as the Underlying Cause of Death, denoting that it was a completely unrelated coincidence. The death certificate is to be filled out as follows and no one is to be the wiser:

    The actual direct cause of death is to be listed on line "A" under Immediate Cause of Death. Line "B" is for any conditions that actually caused/led to the immediate cause of death. Line "C" can be used to list any conditions that caused the development of the conditions listed in "B." Then whichever line ends up being the last line in the sequence is to be hardcoded with "COVID-19," as the Underlying Cause of Death. All deaths in which the death certificate lists COVID-19 as the Underlying Cause is classified and reported as a COVID Death!

    It's all a scam. All deaths could be effectively labelled as COVID deaths.
     
  5. gfm7175

    gfm7175 Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Oct 2, 2018
    Messages:
    9,541
    Likes Received:
    4,851
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Gender:
    Male


    This is the CDC video referenced in the prior post.
     
  6. nopartisanbull

    nopartisanbull Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    May 5, 2018
    Messages:
    7,271
    Likes Received:
    3,278
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Gender:
    Male

    Quote; It’s all a scam

    FALSE!

    I watched your video, and you’ve exacerbated its contents with unuendos, and rhetoric.
     
    Last edited: Feb 3, 2022
  7. tharock220

    tharock220 Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jan 20, 2016
    Messages:
    2,822
    Likes Received:
    1,614
    Trophy Points:
    113
    They were essential to the people who owned them or worked at them. New York's employment numbers still haven't reach pre-pandemic levels.
     
  8. crank

    crank Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jan 20, 2013
    Messages:
    54,812
    Likes Received:
    18,482
    Trophy Points:
    113
    There have been a lot of pneumonia deaths with C19. Having said that, they happen for the same reason they do when influenza was the originating virus. Pneumonia happens when the initial condition is not treated, or the individual does not allow time to recover. It's more common in men, because men are inclined to ignore illness.
     
  9. nopartisanbull

    nopartisanbull Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    May 5, 2018
    Messages:
    7,271
    Likes Received:
    3,278
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Gender:
    Male
    Here’s what I don’t understand;

    When influenza A causes a pneumococcal death, it is generally coded as J09.X1

    Thus, Influenza due to indentified novel Influenza A virus with pneumonia. Google ICD10 J09.X1

    However, according to the below average intelligent people, when Covid19 causes a pneumococcal death, it is a scam because on the death certificate, Covid19 shouldn’t be listed as an Underlying cause of death, thus, said pneumococcal death shouldn’t be counted as a Covid related death???????

    What’s your take on this?
     
    Last edited: Feb 3, 2022
  10. Doofenshmirtz

    Doofenshmirtz Well-Known Member Past Donor

    Joined:
    Jan 21, 2016
    Messages:
    28,167
    Likes Received:
    19,403
    Trophy Points:
    113
    I remember the first day of "Stay at home" orders for "non essential" workers here in Los Angeles. Many of those staying home had their cars towed the next morning by essential parking enforcement workers!

    A friend of mine owns a toy/hobby shop. To avoid being shut down, he added "And bike repair" to his sign and poof! he was suddenly essential!
     
    Professor Peabody likes this.
  11. sec

    sec Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Aug 20, 2008
    Messages:
    31,776
    Likes Received:
    7,842
    Trophy Points:
    113

    The same Democrat politicians who turned off power to homes because people were gathered in their back yards are the same who were mask free at the Rams game

    Rules for thee but not Democrat politicians
     
  12. Professor Peabody

    Professor Peabody Well-Known Member Past Donor

    Joined:
    Apr 19, 2008
    Messages:
    94,819
    Likes Received:
    15,788
    Trophy Points:
    113
    If anyone asks why I'm not wearing a mask, I reply.....LA Mayor Garcetti says it's ok as long as I hold my breath.
     
  13. gfm7175

    gfm7175 Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Oct 2, 2018
    Messages:
    9,541
    Likes Received:
    4,851
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Gender:
    Male
    No argumentation presented on your part.
     
  14. independentthinker

    independentthinker Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Oct 20, 2015
    Messages:
    8,310
    Likes Received:
    4,674
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Gender:
    Male
    Funny how when Trump was president the left demanded lockdowns and then blamed Trump for the resulting bad economy and unemployment but soon after Biden became president, most democrats are saying that lockdowns are not necessary.
     
  15. sec

    sec Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Aug 20, 2008
    Messages:
    31,776
    Likes Received:
    7,842
    Trophy Points:
    113

    Covid was a convenient thing to use to change how voting was allowed and thus gain full Democrat control
     
    independentthinker likes this.
  16. FreshAir

    FreshAir Well-Known Member Past Donor

    Joined:
    Mar 2, 2012
    Messages:
    151,140
    Likes Received:
    63,367
    Trophy Points:
    113
    I have to agree with this some what

    smokers were the least likely group to go to the hospital or die from covid, like 80 to 90% less likely

    but, smokers had to go to the store to get their smokes, they could not have these delivered, so they were the most likely to leave the house more often

    seems odd that this would be the group with the least issues... Unless moderate tobacco use somehow protected them

    the reality is, if states really wanted to keep people locked down, they would have allowed people to order things like alcohol and cigarettes online
     
  17. FreshAir

    FreshAir Well-Known Member Past Donor

    Joined:
    Mar 2, 2012
    Messages:
    151,140
    Likes Received:
    63,367
    Trophy Points:
    113
    to be fair, pre-covid, absentee voting favored the right, so only recently have the right become anti-absentee ballot - even Trump voted by Absentee ballot

    in areas where the wait was hours, I doubt the right can change this going forward

    no longer will republicans intentionally making wait in lines longer in dem voting areas affect the outcome of an election
     
    Last edited: Feb 8, 2022
  18. truth and justice

    truth and justice Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Oct 5, 2011
    Messages:
    25,902
    Likes Received:
    8,862
    Trophy Points:
    113
    The economy under Trump started to fail before Covid - one indication is the last GDP quarter rate before covid - 1.9% and that was after huge company tax cuts
     
  19. independentthinker

    independentthinker Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Oct 20, 2015
    Messages:
    8,310
    Likes Received:
    4,674
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Gender:
    Male
    LOL. Assuming that that was actually true, your solution is to have 6% inflation? No matter how much you want to spin that, voters aren't buying it, which has been proven with recent elections and the midterms are looking horrible for the blue team.
     
  20. truth and justice

    truth and justice Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Oct 5, 2011
    Messages:
    25,902
    Likes Received:
    8,862
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Assuming? 1.9% GDP rate in the last quarter of 2019 is fact
     
  21. independentthinker

    independentthinker Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Oct 20, 2015
    Messages:
    8,310
    Likes Received:
    4,674
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Gender:
    Male
    LOL. 5.9% inflation is a fact, and it has not been temporary.
     
  22. skepticalmike

    skepticalmike Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Nov 18, 2018
    Messages:
    682
    Likes Received:
    447
    Trophy Points:
    63
    Gender:
    Male
    The study referred to in the OP was not commissioned or endorsed by John Hopkins University. One of the writers of the study was
    a professor in economics from John Hopkins University and all of the authors had economic backgrounds and lacked healthcare
    expertise. The paper was not not peer-reviewed or published in a healthcare journal. It is contradicted by other peer-reviewed
    studies. The authors definition of a lockdown is strange and absurd - “The authors define lockdown ‘as the imposition of at least one compulsory, non-pharmaceutical intervention’.

    Did So-Called ‘Johns Hopkins Study’ Really Show Lockdowns Were Ineffective Against Covid-19? (forbes.com)

    Did Pandemic Lockdowns Do Little to Prevent COVID Deaths? (webmd.com)

    Feb. 4, 2022 -- An analysis from a trio of economists says pandemic lockdowns during the first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic did little to reduce the number of COVID-related deaths.

    Lockdowns in the United States and Europe reduced COVID-related deaths by only .2%, and shelter-in-placed orders reduced deaths by 2.9%, the study says.

    The findings, which have not been peer reviewed, conflict with previous studies that found lockdowns worked.

    One published in July 2020 in the British journal BMJ, for example, found that lockdowns helped reduce the number of COVID-19 cases.

    And a May 2020 study out of Columbia University found nearly that 36,000 American lives would have been spared if strict social distancing measures had been enacted across the country just 1 week earlier than they were.

    In the new paper, published in the journal Studies in Applied Economics, the authors looked at data from 34 other studies published by July 1, 2020, during the early part of the global pandemic. They looked at mortality rates but didn’t consider how lockdowns might have affected the number of infections or virus-related hospitalizations. They also didn’t use studies that forecast deaths.

    The authors define lockdowns as “compulsory nonpharmaceutical interventions … that restrict internal movement, close schools and businesses, and ban international travel.” They didn’t consider government recommendations, information campaigns, mass testing, or vaccine measures.

    Samir Bhatt, a professor of statistics and public health at Imperial College London, senior author on the first ever study comparing the effect of lockdowns, question how the authors of the new study define “lockdown.”

    “The authors define lockdown ‘as the imposition of at least one compulsory, non-pharmaceutical intervention’. This would make a mask wearing policy a lockdown,” Bhatt said in a statement. “For a meta-analysis using a definition that is at odds with the dictionary definition (a state of isolation or restricted access instituted as a security measure) is strange.”
     
    bigfella and Bowerbird like this.
  23. skepticalmike

    skepticalmike Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Nov 18, 2018
    Messages:
    682
    Likes Received:
    447
    Trophy Points:
    63
    Gender:
    Male
    The Paper below discusses the effectiveness of lockdowns throughout the world and graphically displays how well lockdowns have worked
    in a number of countries. Lockdowns did not work very well in the U.S. compared to most countries.

    Is Lockdown Effective in Limiting SARS-CoV-2 Epidemic Progression?—a Cross-Country Comparative Evaluation Using Epidemiokinetic Tools (nih.gov)
    Published online 2021 Jan 13.




    [​IMG] [​IMG] [​IMG]



    Government-imposed social distancing was shown to reduce the daily case growth rate over time and presumed to decrease R0 mainly by reducing β. Our findings supported that coherent lockdown strategies divided t1/2γ by ~ 6.2-fold and R0 by ~ 3.3-fold. We confirmed that lockdown alters inter-individual SARS-CoV-2 transmission but showed that R0 is preferentially steered by γ than β (~ 6.2- and ~ 1.5-fold decrease in Sweden versus group 2 countries, respectively).
     
    bigfella and Bowerbird like this.
  24. Bowerbird

    Bowerbird Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    May 13, 2009
    Messages:
    92,946
    Likes Received:
    74,326
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Gender:
    Female
    ::roll: :roll: :roll:

    It has already been posted once and debunked more times than a drunken sailor in a cyclone.

    You DO get that there are specialist fields of study right? That it is NOT a good idea for your dentist to remove your appendix?

    The authors are economists not epidemiologists, this is a “pre-print” so no peer review (quality control) it is a hideously poor “research paper” which is actually a study in how NOT to conduct a systematic review and meta analysis
     
    bigfella likes this.
  25. Bowerbird

    Bowerbird Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    May 13, 2009
    Messages:
    92,946
    Likes Received:
    74,326
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Gender:
    Female
    And the morbidity rate??? The cost of healthcare (ICU is EXPENSIVE) cost of rehabilitation? It is going to ge interesting to finally crunch the total health care costs a compare them to the “lockdown” costs. Especially non-vaccinated versus vaccinated profiles
     

Share This Page