Running Newsticker for the War in Ukraine

Kinburn Spit in play again...



link to video.....

 

Ukrainians are giving mother Russia what they deserve, - a taste of their own medicine.

 

...views from Kursk this evening......

 

Ukrainians better not get caught in an overextended position.

 

Ukrainians hold the initiative.

Ukraine Conflict Updates
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, August 9, 2024

Click here to read the full report with maps
Key Takeaways:

• Russian sources claimed on August 9 that Ukrainian forces advanced further east in Kursk Oblast but are likely no longer operating as far north or as far west as Russian sources previously claimed on August 8.
• Ukrainian forces reportedly struck a Russian military convoy east of Rylsk near Oktyabrskoye, Kursk Oblast.
• The Russian military command appears to be relying on existing units deployed to the international border area and readily available forces in the rear, most of which are units staffed with conscripts and irregular forces, to address the ongoing Ukrainian incursion into Kursk Oblast.
• These units would likely be the first to respond even if the Russian military command has decided to transfer additional, more experienced units from elsewhere in the theater.
• The Russian military command may currently be resisting operational pressures to redeploy forces from other operational directions to prevent the Ukrainian incursion from disrupting Russian offensive operations in eastern Ukraine.
• The Russian military command may currently be transferring more experienced and better-provisioned frontline units from eastern or southern Ukraine to Kursk Oblast, but it would likely take additional time for such units to arrive in Kursk Oblast.
• Ukrainian forces conducted strikes against a Russian military airfield in Lipetsk Oblast and other Russian military targets in occupied Crimea and Donetsk Oblast on August 9.
• Russian forces recently made confirmed advances near Chasiv Yar, Toretsk, and Pokrovsk.
• The Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) continues to posture itself as providing sufficient medical care to Russian servicemembers. . . .

 

Here is a report that Ukrainian/Georgian forces have launched another incursion near Belgorod and taken Poroz

"The Institute for the Study of War (ISW) estimates that the Ukrainian have overcome two Russian defensive lines and at least one military base.

Video posted on several pro-Kremlin Telegram channels overnight on Thursday/Friday, Aug. 8/9 showed a column of Russian military vehicles fiercely burning at the side of the road near the village of Oktyabrskoye in the Rylsky district of the Kursk region."







Неофициальный Безсонов







0:20



Рыльский район, Курская область. Сообщается о подбитой колонне...


@NeoficialniyBeZsonoV

t.me/NeoficialniyBeZsonoV

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edited

Aug 8 at 18:34


Russian milbloggers accused their commanders of criminal incompetence after the strike.



Kyiv Post

Ukrainian Incursion May Have Expanded to Two Russian Regions Video posted Saturday shows soldiers in the Belgorod region village of Poroz holding up Ukrainian and Georgian flags.

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18 minutes ago [8/10/24]


https://www.kyivpost.com/post/37198

 

That happens a lot.

Ukraine Pushes Into New Part of Russia: Reports

Newsweek
https://www.newsweek.com › ukraine-belgorod-incursi...

7 hours ago — One of them said that they were in the village of Poroz, just over a mile inside the Russian border, and around 60 miles south of Sudzha. "With ...
https://www.newsweek.com/ukraine-belgorod-incursion-kursk-1937349


Ukrainian troops 'storm Russia's Belgorod region' | World

Express.co.uk
https://www.express.co.uk › News › World

9 hours ago — Poroz is around 80km (50 miles) southeast of Pehklovo in the Kursk ... Poroz. Unconfirmed reports suggest Ukrainian forces are in Poroz ...
https://www.express.co.uk/news/world/1934430/ukraine-russia-war-belgorod

 

....it's a concern isn't it....they've been inflicting heavy casualties on the Russians watching them do exactly the same thing so one assumes they'll be well aware of the danger....

 

It does not seem they are over extended. They did not deploy a huge force, but were able to do lot of damage with what they have. I am not a military expert, but this seem like a good move from Ukranian part.

 

I also think that it is a good move. My concern is for Ukrainians to protect their flanks. According to a map I saw the area of Ukrainian incursion is contiguous with the border of Ukraine. Ukrainians are in a good position but they need to watch. It and not forget that Russia has troop numbers in excess of Ukraine’s troop level. Albeit Russians have regiments that are not a top level. We will see if Russian troop numbers will cover
Or or incomplete training.

 

I think that I also started reading something like that but for reason lost my access to the article. Thanks for posting.

 

It would be fair to call the Russian response thus far haphazard.

Ukraine Conflict Updates
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, August 10, 2024

Click here to read the full report with maps
Key Takeaways:

• The Russian National Antiterrorism Committee announced a counterterrorism operation in Belgorod, Bryansk, and Kursk oblasts on August 9 in response to the Ukrainian incursion into Kursk Oblast.
• The Kremlin likely decided to declare a counterterrorism operation - as opposed to a state of war or martial law - to downplay the scale of the Ukrainian incursion into Kursk Oblast and prevent domestic panic or backlash - demonstrating the Kremlin's reluctance to take more drastic measures to respond to the situation.
• Putin likely appointed Bortnikov as the head of the counterterrorist operation because Bortnikov has previously proven himself to be an effective manager during crises that threatened Russian domestic stability and the Kremlin regime.
• A complicated command and control (C2) arrangement for the FSB-led counterterrorism operation under Bortnikov may degrade the effectiveness of the Russian response to Ukraine’s operation.
• The Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) appears to be relying on a combination of Russian conscripts already operating in Kursk Oblast, elements of the Northern Grouping of Forces, and elements redeployed from lower-priority frontline areas in Ukraine to defend against the Ukrainian operation in Kursk Oblast, likely exacerbating the disorganization of Russia’s chosen response.
• Russian forces' usage of conscripts and forces already in Kursk Oblast, nearby forces fighting in northern Kharkiv Oblast, and lateral redeployments across the theater to defend against the Ukrainian incursion is consistent with a number of likely Russian courses of action (COAs) that ISW forecasted.
• The Russian MoD appears to be relying on select, battle-hardened units to conduct offensive and defensive operations in its most critical sectors of the front.
• Russian forces appear to be more adequately defending against Ukrainian assaults following the arrival of additional conscripts and more combat effective personnel from frontline areas in Ukraine.
• Geolocated footage and Russian reporting from August 10 indicates that Ukrainian forces largely maintain previously reported positions in Kursk Oblast and have advanced slightly further than their previously confirmed positions.
• Ukraine’s cross-border operation into Kursk Oblast threatens the Kremlin with a potential political crisis regarding causalities among Russian conscripts, whom the Kremlin has increasingly relied upon to defend the Russian state border with Ukraine.
• Ukrainian forces recently struck a Russian ship and a gas platform in the western Black Sea.
• Iran will reportedly deliver "hundreds" of ballistic missiles to Russia in the near future.
• Russian forces recently advanced near Kreminna, Toretsk, Pokrovsk, and Donetsk City.
• A Russian milblogger claimed that the Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) has begun to form the "Black Raven" strike drone volunteer unit and asked readers to donate to the 16-million-ruble (about $184,324) goal to supply the unit with drones and equipment. . . . .

 

Russia's military is straining to defend against the Ukrainian military, but Putin's strategy of targeting civilians still works.
The Russian military machine managed to kill a couple of civilians in Kyiv -- with NK weapons systems.


Ukraine continues incursion on Russia while overnight Kremlin attack on Kyiv kills two

Euronews via Yahoo News· 4 hours ago [8/11/24]
President Zelenskyy, referencing preliminary information, indicated that Russia used a North Korean...

 

https://www.ukrinform.net/rubric-at...-greek-catholic-church-in-kherson-region.html

A Russian missile destroys Greek Catholic church in Kherson region . Putin still doing the work of the devil …..

Russians are still attacking Ukrainian Churches. The. latest attack was in Antonivka in the Kherson region,. A. Russian missile destroyed a temple of the parish of St. Cyprian and Martyr Justine of the Ukrainian Greek Catholic Church.
The Ukrainian Greek Catholic Church outside of Ukraine is called Ukrainian Catholic Church or Eastern Rite Ukrainian Catholic Church. It is one of the Eastern Rite Catholic Churches in communion with Rome.

 

https://www.ukrinform.net/rubric-ato/3894322-military-airfield-near-moscow-comes-under-drone-attack-media.

There are reports that the military airfield Chkalovsky airfield in the suburbs of Moscow has been attacked. On the surface at least this is another stick in the eye to Putin and the many pro war Moskhailnyks We are still waiting for a damage report . At least Ukrainians demonstrated that they can hit Russian military targets far from the border as the Moskhailnyks in the Rostiv region found out a few times now.
No Ukraine does not in any way have the resources to attack Moskva but let the Russians think that Moskva is in danger so that they are drawing resources to defend it.

Good work cousins !

 

Ukrainian forces are nimble. Russian forces are clumsy.

Ukraine Conflict Updates
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, August 11, 2024
Click here to read the full report with maps

Key Takeaways:

• Ukraine's operation in Kursk Oblast has allowed Ukrainian forces to at least temporarily seize the battlefield initiative in one area of the frontline and contest Russia's theater-wide initiative.
• The Ukrainian operation in Kursk Oblast and further possible Ukrainian cross-border incursions force a decision point on the Kremlin and the Russian military command about whether to view the thousand-kilometer-long international border with northeastern Ukraine as a legitimate frontline that Russia must defend instead of a dormant area of the theater as they have treated it since Fall 2022. Moscow’s response may require the Russian military command to consider the manpower and materiel requirements for defending the international border as part of its theater-wide campaign design and can therefore impose long-term operational planning constraints that Russia previously did not face.
• Geolocated footage and Russian and Ukrainian reporting from August 10 and 11 indicate that Ukrainian forces advanced westward and northwestward in Kursk Oblast, although Russian sources largely claimed that Russian forces have stabilized the situation.
• The hastily assembled and disparate Russian force grouping responding to the Ukrainian incursion into Kursk Oblast is comprised of Russian units likely below their doctrinal end-strength and ill-prepared to establish the joint command and control (C2) structures necessary to coordinate operations.
• Russia’s redeployment of battalion and lower-level units rather than full brigades and regiments to defend in Kursk Oblast is likely contributing to Russian forces' difficulty in quickly establishing effective C2 in the area.
• Confusion about the status of Russian conscripts fighting in Kursk Oblast is a consequence of ineffective C2 and will likely continues to further strain Russia’ C2 structures to respond to the Kursk operation.
• Russian officials acknowledged that Ukrainian mobile groups advanced upwards of 25 kilometers into Belovsky Raion, Kursk Oblast on the night of August 10 to 11, but there are no indications that these groups remain in the area or that Ukrainian forces are operating beyond the immediate border area in Belovsky Raion.
• The reported rapid Ukrainian maneuver in Belovsky Raion suggests that Russian forces along the international border remain poorly prepared to respond to further Ukrainian cross-border incursions.
• Russian sources claimed on August 11 that small Ukrainian groups attempted unsuccessful limited cross-border incursions into western Belgorod Oblast.
• Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky officially acknowledged the Ukrainian cross-border incursion into Kursk Oblast for the first time on August 10.
• A top Ukrainian defense official reportedly stated that Russian forces have somewhat reduced the intensity of assaults in eastern Ukraine but that otherwise the situation remains largely unchanged amid the Ukrainian operation in Kursk Oblast, which is consistent with ISW's observations of Russian offensive tempo across the theater.
• Russian forces recently advanced near Kupyansk and Donetsk City.
• Russian propagandists are attempting to use the Ukrainian incursion into Kursk Oblast to promote Russian force generation efforts. . .

 

.....to just the Kursk Oblast foray or the whole prosecution of their SMO....

 

From the day their armored forces rolled with dress uniforms packed for the expected parade.

 

..yeah sounds about right.....

 

Michael Clarke on Times Radio.....

 

Time to recall, again, that dictators who lead their countries into unsuccessful foreign adventures often come to bad ends.


From left to right, the bodies of Bombacci, Mussolini, Petacci, Pavolini and Starace in Piazzale Loreto, 1945

 

...and not forgetting.....

 

so....500 Hryvnia is about £9.53....that’s a crap ton of £9.53’s in those boxes...!!

 

Putin knows that unlike the Russian military Ukraine does not target civilian non-combatants. These mass evacuations may be humiliating but they will save the lives of thousands of Russian civilians.

Financial Times

Ukraine’s incursion displaces more than 133,000 in RussiaRussia said it had evacuated more than 133,000 people from border areas on Monday as Ukraine pressed on with its surprise incursion and President Vladimir...

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48 minutes ago [8/12/24]