Running Newsticker for the War in Ukraine

Discussion in 'Russia & Eastern Europe' started by Statistikhengst, Apr 11, 2022.

  1. The Scotsman

    The Scotsman Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    seems like the ruins of Vuhledar have finally fallen after 2 years of fighting.....so Russia will probably surge now...72nd Mech is probably finished for the moment pending re-constitution?
     
    Last edited: Oct 1, 2024
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  2. Jack Hays

    Jack Hays Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    It's slow going for the Russians.

    Ukraine Conflict Updates
    Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 30, 2024

    Click here to read the full report.
    Key Takeaways:


    • The Russian government plans to spend 17 trillion rubles ($183 billion) on national security and defense in 2025 — about 41 percent of its annual expenditures. The Russian budget will continue to support various social programs, including the Kremlin's pronatalist programs, but a continued focus on defense spending is likely affecting the effectiveness and sustainability of these programs.
    • Russian President Vladimir Putin promoted presidential aide and close personal ally Alexei Dyumin to the Russian Security Council alongside three other officials.
    • The Kremlin continues to use state and regional awards to co-opt previously critical milbloggers as part of wider efforts to gain control over the information space.
    • Russian Prime Minister Mikhail Mishustin arrived in Tehran on September 30 to meet with various Iranian officials and highlight Russo-Iranian economic cooperation.
    • Russian forces recently advanced in Glushkvosky Raion, Kursk Oblast, and Ukrainian and Russian forces recently advanced within the Ukrainian salient in Kursk Oblast.
    • Russian forces recently advanced near Svatove, Chasiv Yar, Toretsk, Pokrovsk, and Donetsk City.
    • Russian President Vladimir Putin signed on September 30 the decree on Russia’s usual semi-annual fall conscription for 133,000 draftees. . . . .
    Russian forces recently made confirmed advances on the western outskirts of Vuhledar. Geolocated footage published on September 30 shows a Russian servicemember of the 403rd Motorized Rifle Regiment (likely a mobilized regiment) planting a flag in western Vuhledar.[77] Russian forces have likely not yet seized the entire settlement, however--the 403rd Motorized Rifle Regiment has been operating north of Pavlivka (southwest of Vuhledar), and likely advanced north along the western flank of Vuhledar to plant the flag.[78] ISW has not yet observed footage of Russian forces operating through central Vuhledar, further suggesting that Russian forces made gains on the western flank as opposed to within the settlement. A Russian milblogger notably claimed on September 30 that Russian forces have not yet seized Vuhledar and are still fighting on the eastern outskirts.[79] Geolocated footage published on September 24 indicates additional recent Russian advances north of Pavlivka (just southwest of Vuhledar) along the Kashlahach River.[80] A Ukrainian soldier operating near Vuhledar noted that the situation in the settlement is very difficult and reported that Russian forces are attacking Vuhledar from three directions—from Pavlivka in the south; from Prechystivka in the southwest; and from Vodyane in the northeast.[81]Russian milbloggers claimed that Russian forces continue efforts to surround Vuhledar from its flanks and are attacking within eastern Vuhledar itself.[82] Russian forces continued ground attacks near Vuhledar itself and towards Bohoyavlenka (northwest of Vuhledar).[83] Elements of the Russian 14th Spetsnaz Brigade (Russian General Staff's Main Intelligence Directorate [GRU]), 29th Combined Arms Army (EMD), and 5th Tank Brigade (36th CAA, EMD) reportedly continue operating near and in Vuhledar itself.[84] . . .
     
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  3. Jack Hays

    Jack Hays Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    Ukrainians are leveling the artillery ammunition playing field, while Russia is amping up criminal recruitment efforts.

    Ukraine Conflict Updates
    Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 1, 2024

    Click here to read the full report.
    Key Takeaways:


    • Russian forces likely seized Vuhledar as of October 1 following a reported Ukrainian withdrawal from the settlement, though it is unclear if Russian forces will make rapid gains beyond Vuhledar in the immediate future.
    • Some Russian sources expressed doubts that Russian forces would be able to rapidly advance and achieve operationally-significant breakthroughs immediately after seizing Vuhledar.
    • Ukrainian officials continue to highlight how Ukraine is reducing Russia's battlefield artillery ammunition advantage, likely in part due to recent Ukrainian strikes on Russian ammunition depots.
    • The United Nations Office of the High Commissioner for Human Rights (UN OHCHR) issued its June-August 2024 report detailing Ukrainian civilian casualties, systemic Russian mistreatment of Ukrainian prisoners of war (POWs), and limited Ukrainian mistreatment of Russian POWs. The UN OHCHR report highlighted the difference between official Russian and Ukrainian reactions to the mistreatment of POWs, and Russian state media largely misrepresented the report by ignoring assessments about Russia's systemic mistreatment of Ukrainian POWs.
    • The Russian federal budget for 2025-2027 has carved out funding to support online platforms belonging to a prominent Kremlin propagandist and a former opposition outlet, further highlighting the Kremlin's efforts to adapt its propaganda machine to Russians’ growing reliance on social media for information.
    • Russian forces recently advanced near Vovchansk, Kreminna, Toretsk, Pokrovsk, and Vuhledar.
    • Russian authorities are reportedly planning to increase recruitment within Russian pre-trial detention centers. . . .

     
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  4. The Scotsman

    The Scotsman Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    looks like Shoigu's brooding war with Ramzan Kadyrov continues.....I like the way he uses obscure forums to constantly try and undermine Kadyrov....Kadyrov who's a devout Sufi Muslim has said publicly stated that he believes sharia law trumps Russian law.....

    upload_2024-10-2_15-13-33.png


    he may have been an iffy sort of Defence Minister but he's always been a class political operator......even more so now he's in the Secretariat.....

    https://eng.kavkaz-uzel.eu/articles/65026
     

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    Last edited: Oct 2, 2024
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  5. Jack Hays

    Jack Hays Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    Don't mess with Latvia.

    Ukraine Conflict Updates
    Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 2, 2024

    Click here to read the full report
    Key Takeaways:


    • Ukraine continues efforts to expand domestic production of significant military equipment and maintain its drone advantage over Russia.
    • Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Mikhail Bogdanov condemned the Israel Defense Force's (IDF) ground operation in southern Lebanon during a meeting with the Lebanese ambassador to Russia on October 1.
    • Latvian forces enhanced air defense near the Russian border following a recent Russian drone crash in the country.
    • Russian and Ukrainian forces continued assaults in Kursk Oblast.
    • Russian forces recently marginally advanced near Svatove, Siversk, and Vuhledar and east and southeast of Pokrovsk.
    • Russian defense enterprises are recruiting tens of thousands of new workers due to acute personnel shortages amid increased production of weapons due to the war in Ukraine. . . .

     
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  6. Jack Hays

    Jack Hays Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    Ukrainian defense in depth is successfully degrading Russian forces.

    Ukraine Conflict Updates
    Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 3, 2024

    Click here to read the full report.
    Key Takeaways:


    • The Russian offensive effort in eastern Ukraine that began in fall 2023 continues to produce gradual Russian tactical gains in specific sectors of the front, but operationally significant gains will likely continue to elude Russian forces.
    • Ukrainian forces are conducting an effective defense in depth along the frontline, inflicting significant losses upon Russian forces while slowly giving ground but preventing the Russian military from making more rapid gains on the battlefield.
    • Ukrainian forces do face serious operational challenges and constraints, which are providing Russian forces with opportunities to pursue tactically significant gains.
    • Russian forces do not have the available manpower and materiel to continue intensified offensive efforts indefinitely, however, and current Russian offensive operations in eastern Ukraine will likely culminate in the coming months, if not weeks, as Ukrainian officials and ISW have previously assessed.
    • Russian forces have recently made notable tactical gains but have not demonstrated a capacity to seize operationally significant objectives.
    • The Russian military command prepared the ongoing Russian summer 2024 offensive operation for months in advance and accumulated operational reserves and resources for the operation that the recent months of attritional fighting have likely heavily degraded.
    • Russian forces have reportedly committed a significant portion of their intended operational reserves to offensive operations in Donetsk and northern Kharkiv oblasts, indicating that the Russian military command may have prioritized forming operational reserves to support offensive operations in priority sectors of the frontline over developing theater-wide strategic reserves for the entire offensive campaign in Ukraine.
    • The Russian military command is continuing to prioritize offensive operations in priority sectors of the frontline over long-term planning for Russia's theater-wide campaign in Ukraine, but the Ukrainian incursion into Kursk Oblast appears to have significantly complicated the development of Russia's operational reserves.
    • Russian President Vladimir Putin appears to be using the "Time of Heroes" veteran support program to militarize regional and local government administrations and further solidify a pro-war ideology into the Russian state and society.
    • Russian authorities continue to arrest Russian officials on charges related to mismanagement and corruption within the Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD).
    • Strikes reportedly targeted an ammunition depot near Russia's Hmeimim Airbase in Latakia Province, Syria overnight on October 2 to 3.
    • Russian forces recently advanced south of Siversk and east and southeast of Pokrovsk in Donetsk Oblast.
    • Russian authorities continue to nationalize Russian enterprises for the benefit of the federal government. . . . .

     
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  7. Jack Hays

    Jack Hays Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    Ukrainians hit Russian fuel supplies, and Ukrainian partisans are active behind Russian lines.

    Ukraine Conflict Updates
    Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 4, 2024

    Click here to read the full report with maps
    Key Takeaways:


    • Ukrainian forces struck a fuel storage facility in Anna, Voronezh Oblast on the night of October 3 to 4.
    • Russian forces recently advanced in Vovchansk, near Kreminna, Toretsk, Pokrovsk, and Donetsk City.
    The Ukrainian General Staff reported that the Ukrainian Security Service (SBU) and Ukrainian military struck at least one vertical fuel reservoir at the Annaneftprodukt fuel and oil storage facility and that Ukrainian military officials are still clarifying the damage at the facility.[1] Voronezh Oblast Governor Alexander Gusev claimed that Russian electronic warfare (EW) interference caused a Ukrainian drone to fall onto the fuel storage facility and start a fire at an empty fuel reservoir.[2] Footage published on October 4 shows a fire at a purported fuel storage facility near Anna.[3] . . .

    Likely Ukrainian partisan attacks recently killed at least one Russian occupation official in occupied Zaporizhia Oblast. The Ukrainian Main Military Intelligence Directorate (GUR) reported that a car carrying the occupation Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant (ZNPP) Chief of Physical Security Andrei Korotky exploded in an unspecified location, likely in occupied Zaporizhia Oblast, on the morning of October 4, and the Russian Investigative Committee reported that the explosion killed Korotky.[36] The GUR reported on October 2 that a car detonated in occupied Berdyansk, killing occupation official Vitaly Lomeiko.[37] Zaporizhia Oblast occupation senator Vladimir Rogov claimed on October 2 that unspecified actors detonated a homemade bomb in the car of a "former" occupation official, likely referring to Lomeiko, and claimed that the official survived the attack.[38] . . . .


     
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  8. Jack Hays

    Jack Hays Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    North Korea has suffered casualties in Ukraine.

    Ukraine Conflict Updates
    Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 5, 2024

    Click here to read the full report with maps
    Key Takeaways:


    • The Russian Government plans to allocate 90 billion rubles ($948 million) to one-time payments for concluding a military contract with the Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) between 2025 and 2027, indicating that the Kremlin plans to continue relying on ongoing crypto-mobilization efforts to meet the manpower requirements of its war in Ukraine for as long as the crypto-mobilization system works.
    • Ukrainian officials continue to provide statistics regarding Russian war crimes, shedding light on the extent of violations committed by Russian forces and authorities.
    • The Russian government appears to have amended its plan to deanonymize Russian social media accounts following significant backlash within the Russian ultranationalist information space.
    • A recent Ukrainian missile strike near occupied Donetsk City reportedly killed several North Korean military officials.
    • Russian forces recently advanced within the main Ukrainian salient in Kursk Oblast, near Toretsk, near Pokrovsk, and southwest of Donetsk City. . . . .
     
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  9. PARTIZAN1

    PARTIZAN1 Well-Known Member

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    Responding to those two points.

    Hope Ukraine an improve on the destruction of Russian forces. This is good but not good enough..
     
  10. Jack Hays

    Jack Hays Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    The question becomes what level of loss the Russians can/will tolerate going forward.

    Ukraine Conflict Updates
    Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 6, 2024
    Click here to read the full report with maps

    Key Takeaways:


    • Russian forces have reportedly lost at least five divisions’ worth of armored vehicles and tanks in Pokrovsk Raion since beginning their offensive operation to seize Avdiivka in October 2023 and during intensified Russian offensive operations in western Donetsk Oblast in Summer 2024.
    • The Russian military command may not be willing or able to accept the current scale and rate of vehicle loss in the coming months and years given the constraints in Russia's defense industrial production, limits to Russia’s Soviet-era vehicle stockpiles, and the Russian military's failure to achieve operationally significant territorial advances through mechanized maneuver.
    • Ukrainian officials continue to document and prosecute Russian war crimes committed against Ukrainian forces.
    • Russian authorities reportedly arrested the administrator of the Russian Telegram channel Thirteenth, who has previously criticized the Kremlin and Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD), on October 5.
    • Russian forces recently advanced southeast of Pokrovsk. . . . .

     
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  11. PARTIZAN1

    PARTIZAN1 Well-Known Member

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    I think that it is really what level of Russian loses Putin will accept. Don’t you?
     
  12. The Scotsman

    The Scotsman Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    ...another hostage taken by Russia....they'll be starting another bank of westerners for the next round of hostage negotiations.....

    upload_2024-10-8_12-59-44.png

     
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  13. The Scotsman

    The Scotsman Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    upload_2024-10-8_13-35-52.png



    ...reminds me of the old Bob Dylan poem "With God On Our Side".....
     
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  14. The Scotsman

    The Scotsman Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    ...has Girkin died in prison...?
     
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  15. Jack Hays

    Jack Hays Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    Unprecedented Cyber attack in Russia.
    Ukraine Conflict Updates
    Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 7, 2024

    Click here to read the full report
    Key Takeaways:


    • Ukrainian forces struck an oil terminal in occupied Feodosia, Crimea on the night of October 6 to 7.
    • Ukrainian Verkhovna Rada Human Rights Commissioner Dmytro Lyubinets reported on October 7 that Ukrainian authorities are investigating another case of Russian forces' unjust abuse and execution of Ukrainian prisoners of war (POWs).
    • Russian authorities announced an "unprecedented" cyberattack against Russian state media infrastructure on October 7.
    • Russian forces recently advanced in northern Kharkiv Oblast, in Donetsk Oblast, and in western Zaporizhia Oblast. . . .

     
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  16. PARTIZAN1

    PARTIZAN1 Well-Known Member

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    Interesting that Slovakian citizens are crowd sourcing their donation of ammunition for Ukraine because Slovakian PM does not want to help Ukraine defend it self from Russian invaders. Slovakian PM like Hungary’ s Orban must be in love with dictators who love to invade neighbors and near by countries. Slovak PM Fido is very short sighted in that Putin would invade Slovakia even though Slovakia does not have a border with Russia. PM is obviously a charter member of the IOP brigade.

    https://kyivindependent.com/slovak-ammunition-for-ukraine/

    Ammunition crowd-funded by Slovak citizens already in Ukraine and in the hands of the Ukrainian military.

    The "Ammunition for Ukraine" campaign has raised almost 4.5 million euros ($4.9 million) for the Czech artillery initiative after the Slovak government refused to support getting ammunition for Ukraine.
     
  17. PARTIZAN1

    PARTIZAN1 Well-Known Member

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    Executing POWs by Russians is another example of the history of Russian barbarism.
     
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  18. PARTIZAN1

    PARTIZAN1 Well-Known Member

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    There are rumors from the Russian Underground News Initiative that Girkin accidently fell out of a basement apartment window. Staying alive in Russia has become a very much more difficult task these days under the Son of Satan aka Vlad the Monster - Putin.
     
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  19. The Scotsman

    The Scotsman Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    .....seems that Ukraine bombed the Russian 67th GRAU ammunition depot near Karachev in the Bryansk region? Apparently it's about two thirds the size of the one that was smacked at Toropets so should be a good barbecue?
     
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  20. The Scotsman

    The Scotsman Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    upload_2024-10-9_12-26-17.png


     
    Last edited: Oct 9, 2024
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  21. The Scotsman

    The Scotsman Well-Known Member Past Donor

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  22. The Scotsman

    The Scotsman Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    upload_2024-10-11_15-26-16.png


    https://www.arabnews.com/node/2574816/world
     
    Last edited: Oct 11, 2024
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  23. Jack Hays

    Jack Hays Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    There is a report that an F-16 downed an Su-34.

    Ukraine Conflict Updates
    Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 12, 2024

    Click here to read the full report with maps
    Key Takeaways:


    • Russian forces are reportedly relying on illicitly obtained Starlink terminals to improve combat coordination and the effectiveness of their tactical reconnaissance strike complex (TRSC) in Ukraine as part of an overarching effort to reach technological parity with Ukrainian forces.
    • A Russian milblogger claimed that a Ukrainian F-16 downed a Russian Su-34 fighter aircraft in an unspecified area of the theater on October 12, but ISW cannot verify the claim that a Ukrainian F-16 was involved in the reported loss of the Russian Su-34.
    • Unknown actors opened fire on personnel of the Russian Ministry of Internal Affairs' (MVD) Center for Combating Extremism in Nazran, Republic of Ingushetia on the night of October 11.
    • Indian enterprises are reportedly increasing exports of dual-use technologies to Russia, in part thanks to large Russian reserves of rupees from oil sales to India.
    • Russian forces recently advanced near Kupyansk, Donetsk City, and Robotyne.
    • Russian forces are reportedly struggling to conduct effective counter battery fires. . . . .

     
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  24. Jack Hays

    Jack Hays Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    Russians are celebrating executions of POWs.

    Ukraine Conflict Updates
    Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 13, 2024

    Click here to read the full report.
    Key Takeaways:




      • Russian forces have recently resumed tactical offensive attacks in the Donetsk-Zaporizhia Oblast border area and have made tactical gains in localized assaults, but this activity so far does not appear to be a part of a larger operational offensive effort to support the wider Russian offensive operation in western Donetsk Oblast.
      • Russian forces recently executed nine Ukrainian prisoners of war (POWs) in Kursk Oblast amid a theater-wide increase in Russian executions of Ukrainian POWs.
      • Russian milbloggers largely glorified the Russian execution of the Ukrainian POWs, reinforcing a cultural norm to justify and celebrate war crimes within the broader Russian ultranationalist community.
      • Ukrainian forces recently regained lost positions near Selydove, and Russian forces recently advanced near Toretsk, Donetsk City, and Velyka Novosilka. . . . .
     
    Last edited: Oct 14, 2024
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  25. Jack Hays

    Jack Hays Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    Washington Post: EU is investing in Ukraine.
    Ukraine boosting its defense industries, with a little help from friends

    With Europe unable to supply all the weapons and ammunition Ukraine needs, the E.U. is investing in the country’s rapidly expanding arms industry.
     
    Last edited: Oct 14, 2024
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