Among likely voters, it's Biden 49%, Trump 45%

Discussion in 'Political Opinions & Beliefs' started by Patricio Da Silva, May 5, 2024.

  1. Sleep Monster

    Sleep Monster Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    Seriously delusional. Trump was an endless nightmare, going from bad to worse.
     
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  2. Sleep Monster

    Sleep Monster Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    This is why, IMHO, we should get away from in-person voting entirely, like here in Colorado. It works like a charm, fraud is nearly impossible, and no one gets hassled by nut jobs of any sort. We have polling places (usually the nearest DMV), which I had to use in the 2020 primaries because they misspelled my last name og the ballot. But only a tiny percentage vote in person. Free,fair, and safe.

    (Incidentally, that one time that I had to vote in person was in March 2020. That following Saturday, I got my first bout of COVID, likely due to having to vote in person.)

    As to that, it's a big ask.
     
    Last edited: May 5, 2024
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  3. Sleep Monster

    Sleep Monster Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    Strange that you feel the need to know that, given that you're in Australia, mate. ;)
     
  4. Sleep Monster

    Sleep Monster Well-Known Member Past Donor

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  5. Melb_muser

    Melb_muser Well-Known Member Donor

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    When Trump is Pressy, every time I enter a newsagent, shop or cafe in Australia I will see his ugly mug and the latest outrage. :frustrated:
     
  6. Sleep Monster

    Sleep Monster Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    What state is that? Is there a reason why you didn't name it? Or do you assume we already know? If not, it makes your statement egregiously incomplete, just sayin'.
     
    Last edited: May 5, 2024
  7. Sleep Monster

    Sleep Monster Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    Where did you provide numbers? I can't seem to find that post.
     
    Last edited: May 5, 2024
  8. Sleep Monster

    Sleep Monster Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    Here you go again, making claims with zero corroborating sources.

    As always, please put up or shut up. Thank you.
     
  9. Sleep Monster

    Sleep Monster Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    I feel ya, mate.
     
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  10. Quantum Nerd

    Quantum Nerd Well-Known Member

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    I agree, but I don't want to name the state because that might allow someone to identify me, considering the other personal information that I have previously provided. Let's just say the state is in the Northeast.
     
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  11. Golem

    Golem Well-Known Member Donor

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    They're going to be even more now, when they are reminded 24/7 about January 6 and his indictments. Not to mention abortion, which is going to be a huge issue. Looks way more likely that Trump voters will stay at home than Biden's.

    You never know what's going to happen. Trump won in 2016 only because Comey reopened the Hillary investigation 10 days before the elections. Who knows what will happen 10 days before. But as things But I see nothing right now that that would hint anything other than a Biden win with over 300 electoral votes

    A sitting President ALWAYS has a huge advantage. He looks... presidential. The incumbent is the guy sitting in the background. And this time, Trump is going to be sitting in a courtroom.
     
  12. Hey Now

    Hey Now Well-Known Member

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    This down is up and up is down soviet styled active measures are confusing even to you it seems :)
     
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  13. Sleep Monster

    Sleep Monster Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    Well, then perhaps it's best not to mention your state at all. Way to leave a girl hanging, man! ;-)
     
    Last edited: May 5, 2024
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  14. Quantum Nerd

    Quantum Nerd Well-Known Member

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    I apologize, but with places like campusreform smearing academics to the point where they are suspended (we had such a case on a campus near me), I'd rather err on the side of caution. At the same time, I like to divulge some personal information every once in a while for the sake of authenticity. For example, most posters on here probably know that I am originally form Germany and a Chemistry professor. It's a conundrum....
     
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  15. garyd

    garyd Well-Known Member

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    Actually that has a high likelihood of backfiring if it moves the needle at all and every time you have to escort president fuddy duddy off the stage because he can't tell his stage left from his stage right. he looks more ready for a memory care center than the oval office.
     
  16. garyd

    garyd Well-Known Member

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    I didn't. But the break down between married and single women on abortion is fairly large and it gets largeras the price of groceries goes up.
     
  17. Zorro

    Zorro Well-Known Member

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    RFK commissioned a 50 state poll with a 30,000 voter sampling which is a huge poll, likely driving the margin of error to near zero, and it showed that while Biden will not beat Trump, if Biden drops out, RFK can beat Trump.

    BIDEN loses either way, but Trump only wins if Biden drops out.

    So you don't have to lose to Trump. You only lose to Trump if the DNC prefers to lose to Trump rather than win with RFK, and don't think that's not a deliberate choice. The Clintons/Obamas run the DNC, and if RFK wins, he'll run for re-election as Democrat, take control of the RNC and completely cleanse it of Clinton/Obama drones.

    I don't know how good their likely voter screen is, but you are right, it's the battle ground states.

    Democrats have put together such a remarkable turn out operation, that whereas for years it was Republicans who did better in low turnout elections, now it's Dems who do, which has really helped them in the off year elections. It could be that Dems now do better with likely voters and the GOP that will do better in high turn out elections, that is GOP outperforms with unlikely voters. So I don't dismiss this poll. I looked at the internals, and it slightly over samples Dems, but not by much.
     
  18. Quantum Nerd

    Quantum Nerd Well-Known Member

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    There is ZERO chance that Trump voters are going to vote for RFK. They only prop up RFK because they think he is going to take votes away from Biden (and that's why GOP donors are financing RFK's campaign).
     
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  19. Hey Now

    Hey Now Well-Known Member

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    Sounds a lot like gas lighting to benefit Trump.
     
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  20. Zorro

    Zorro Well-Known Member

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    Donors?

    Tim Melon supports RFK financially, and Trump, who else?
     
  21. Hey Now

    Hey Now Well-Known Member

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  22. Sleep Monster

    Sleep Monster Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    Prove it.

    Why do I still need to ask over and over?
     
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  23. Endeavor

    Endeavor Well-Known Member

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    I don’t think Biden will win Michigan. Majority Arab-Americans will stay home or vote 3rd party. Michigan has over 250K Arab-American. Without them Biden will not win the state.

    Madison, Wisconsin – much younger /liberal town. So far not so much anti-Israel movement here yet. Biden needs to Dane county (Madison) by 70%-75% like last time.
     
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  24. independentthinker

    independentthinker Well-Known Member

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    That's what losers say.
     
  25. Noone

    Noone Well-Known Member

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    Good news! It’s vital, as always, that patriots everywhere volunteer to get out the vote. The more people that vote, the greater the chance America and Government BY THE PEOPLE live on!

    It’s really that crucial. President Biden and Freedom or tRaitor tRump and the end of the United States as we’ve known them.

    “Give me LIBERTY or give me death!”
     
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