GW takin' a break - for 7years, 11 months so far.

Discussion in 'Environment & Conservation' started by Bullseye, Aug 10, 2022.

  1. Bullseye

    Bullseye Well-Known Member

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    Yeah, yeah, the link is to WUWT, However this isn't an esoteric study - the guy downloads data sets, plots them and runs a lease squares linear regression on the data.
    Screen Shot 2022-08-10 at 11.51.02 AM.png

    Interesting, at the very lease.
    Again, this ISN'T a peer-reviewed paper reporting some new theory - it's at most sophomore year fiddling. Interesting the author also mentions an early this century pause.
     
    Last edited: Aug 10, 2022
  2. Sunsettommy

    Sunsettommy Well-Known Member

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    It is a revealing way to show how CO2 doesn't continue the warming trend and yes there was an even longer pause/cooling trend earlier too.

    [​IMG]

    LINK

    Can you spot the TWO El-Nino's in the chart that causes all of the warming since 1996?
     
    Last edited: Aug 10, 2022
  3. WhoDatPhan78

    WhoDatPhan78 Banned

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    What exactly is this chart showing? If it is a chart showing the change in the mean temperature, it shows that the mean temperature has increased pretty much constantly, but that the rate of the increase has been fluctuating.

    The way i read the chart is that 0 would mean no change, and the line almost never falls below 0, which means it is just a confusing way of showing that the temperature has been continuously increasing for the time covered by the chart.
     
    Last edited: Aug 10, 2022
  4. Tucsonican

    Tucsonican Well-Known Member

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    Every time Republicans gain in popularity the heat index rises!!
     
  5. Bullseye

    Bullseye Well-Known Member

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    Did you read the article?
     
  6. WhoDatPhan78

    WhoDatPhan78 Banned

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    No, i'm just looking at the data in the chart posted in the OP.

    Does the chart show something other than the mean change in temperature?
     
    Last edited: Aug 10, 2022
  7. Bullseye

    Bullseye Well-Known Member

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    It shows the "anomaly" or difference from a baseline value - usually an average over several years.
     
  8. WhoDatPhan78

    WhoDatPhan78 Banned

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    The title states that it is the mean change in temperature.

    That would mean that what the chart actually shows in that there has been a steady increase in the global temperature pretty much the entire time period covered by the chart. Anything higher than 0 is an increase. Even if the line goes from .3 down to .1, that is still indicative of an increase in the mean global temperature.

    It shows that the rate of increase has fluctuated, but that there is a steady increase.

    I am not sure how one is to conclude that is shows any type of pause in global warming.
     
    Last edited: Aug 10, 2022
  9. Jack Hays

    Jack Hays Well-Known Member Donor

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    The rate of global warming predicted by IPCC in 1990 is simply not occurring. Nothing like. In 1990 IPCC predicted warming equivalent to 0.34 K/decade in the period to 2030. We are now almost a third of a century after that prediction, and the observed warming is not the 1.1 K that ought to have occurred by now but just 0.45 K.
     
    Last edited: Aug 10, 2022
  10. Bullseye

    Bullseye Well-Known Member

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    The chart title say "mean temperature CHANGE"
     
    Last edited: Aug 10, 2022
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  11. WhoDatPhan78

    WhoDatPhan78 Banned

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    Yes, so anytime the change is positive, that means the temperature is increasing.

    So even if it goes from .3 to .1, that means the temperature is increasing. The rate of increase fluctuates, but it is almost always increasing during the time period on that chart.
     
    Last edited: Aug 10, 2022
  12. Bullseye

    Bullseye Well-Known Member

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    Not exactly, the flat line smooth out the yearly ups and downs, it's not cumulative.
     
  13. Sunsettommy

    Sunsettommy Well-Known Member

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    You really should read the article as it explains it well.
     
  14. WhoDatPhan78

    WhoDatPhan78 Banned

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    I can read the chart.

    Why do I need someone else to explain the data.

    can you explain what I am misinterpreting about the chart?
     
  15. Sunsettommy

    Sunsettommy Well-Known Member

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    Maybe the AUTHOR of that chart you continually make clear you don't understand it and apparently you are TOO lazy or scared to read what the author said about the chart he created.
     
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  16. WhoDatPhan78

    WhoDatPhan78 Banned

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    The chart doesn’t show what the thread title is claiming it shows.

    Maybe you should look at data yourself instead of just looking for a headline that supports what you want to be true.
     
    Last edited: Aug 11, 2022
  17. Sunsettommy

    Sunsettommy Well-Known Member

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    This is what happens when people ignore the article (Not read it) yet think they know what it and the chart say which is why you remain ignorant.
     
  18. WhoDatPhan78

    WhoDatPhan78 Banned

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    I know what the chart says.
     
  19. Sunsettommy

    Sunsettommy Well-Known Member

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    NO, the chart shows ZERO warming trend on it since 2014, 0.00 C

    [​IMG]

    The article explains why he made the claim which you still haven't read.
     
  20. Sunsettommy

    Sunsettommy Well-Known Member

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    Not really you are making a bogus argument since the article which you remain terrified of doesn't support your wild guesses.
     
  21. WhoDatPhan78

    WhoDatPhan78 Banned

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    yea, i read the article, the writer has an agenda.

    He is misrepresenting the data shown in the chart.

    You aren't making any effort to analyze the data on your own.
     
    Last edited: Aug 11, 2022
  22. Sunsettommy

    Sunsettommy Well-Known Member

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    Actually, YOU never made a case of alleged misrepresentation, and you still show no evidence that you read the article since you haven't pointed out anything in detail.

    The chart that so baffles you is being misread by you and a few others in the comment section and my own chart at POST 2 you completely ignore supports the chart in question.

    Worst of all he starts in July 2022 and goes backwards until there is warming again while you and many others read from left to right which is why you are so confused.
     
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  23. Bullseye

    Bullseye Well-Known Member

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