Poll: Majority expects Obama to lose re-election

Poll: Majority expects Obama to lose re-election


Posted 10/3/11 1:45 p.m.

NEW YORK (WLS) - A majority of Americans expect Barack Obama to be a one-term president, an assessment on which, in past elections, the public has more often been right than wrong.

Just 37 percent of people in a new ABC News/Washington Post poll say they expect Obama to win re-election in November 2012; 55 percent instead expect the eventual Republican nominee to win.

It’s a challenging finding for the president because expectations can fuel voter enthusiasm -- precisely the ingredient that led the GOP to its broad success in the 2010 midterms, when charged-up conservatives turned out while dispirited Democrats stayed home.

Democrats do expect Obama to win, but they say so only by 58-33 percent -- a comparatively tepid vote of confidence within his own party. Republicans, by contrast, smell victory by a vast 83-13 percent. Independents by 54-36 percent expect the Republican candidate to beat Obama.

This poll, produced for ABC News by Langer Research Associates, finds that the divisions among ideological groups tell a similar story. Conservatives are far more confident about the Republican nominee than are liberals about Obama, and moderates, albeit narrowly, are more likely to expect the challenger to win.

The poll also notes Americans who lack a college degree think, by 57-35 points, that the Republican nominee will beat Obama; those with a college degree think so too, but by a narrower 49-41 percent.

The public does not always nail such prognostications, and with the election more than a year away -- and the Republican contest still highly unsettled -- much can change. In a New York Times/CBS News poll in March 1992, 76 percent expected President George H.W. Bush to beat Bill Clinton. But Bush quickly lost support as the flush of success in the first Gulf War faded and economic discontent took hold, and Clinton unseated him.

Nonetheless, in November 1999, also in a Times/CBS poll, the public by 52-32 percent expected the eventual Republican nominee to beat the Democrat, as he did; in September 2003, the public by 50-35 percent expected Bush 43 to be re-elected, as he was; and in March 2007, 61 percent correctly expected the eventual Democratic nominee to beat the eventual GOP nominee.

ABC News Radio contributed to this report.


http://www.wlsam.com/Article.asp?id=2300955&spid=



Sounds like a winner. Obama is an economic drag chute that we need to cut loose. Hardcore Dems will vote for the Zero, but not the independents.


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The economy is more than likely going to stay the same as it is now, or get worse, by election time. As long as Obamacare looms over the heads of employers, they are going to be hesitant to hire people.

Unless Obama's thugs can successfully character assassinate whoever the GOP candidate is going to be, Obama's reelection chances live and die with the state of the economy.

 

Speaking of Obamacare: in the long term care facility I used to work in, they were desperate to find a house doc. They just won't do that job any more because of the Medicare BS, so it's becoming nearly impossible to find geriatric doctors now.

That's now. It will be worse in the next couple years.

 

Was watching Stephen Hayes on television tonight and he said that the left need to really embrace those wall street squatters. Take them to their bosom. LOL They are a sure loser!

 

It's way beyond this election, but it certainly is going to help.
You think the TeaParty is a force? Well buddy, you're seeing the first ripple of a people's power tsunami that's going to wipe cons and their pals off the planet.
See ya, wouldn't wanna be ya!

 

A few hundred idiotic, unwashed, hippy wannabes running around screaming about food additives is hardly what I would call a "people's power tsunami". If anything, they are going to drive more people towards the right.

2012. Count your days.

 

Did you hear the protester on the news tonight say that they were NEVER LEAVING? They were going to be there forever?

I guess when it starts snowing in NYC, Soros will provide them with heaters and shelters.

 

Are you talking about those punk ass losers on Wall Street that hate America?

Wouldn't wanna be ya? What are you, 10?

The pathetic hippy wannabes will run out of peanut butter soon, and I believe I can hear their mommies calling them right now.

 

We need to bookmark this one for Nov '12. Nothing I enjoy more than watching a liberal eat their own tail.

 

Well, it's not like they have jobs or have anything better to do. Once this is over, they'll go back to their parents houses and life will go on as usual.

 

Especially since they never wipe with toilet paper. Must be the commune lifestyle.

 

That's a mental visual I didn't need!!!

LOL

 

I would expect Obama to lose, but the chances of the GOP nominating an electable candidate seems to pretty slim right now. Assuming Romney wins (since it sure as hell won't be Perry), America will NEVER elect a Mormon President. If the GOP wants to win they really need a McCain 2.0, someone who seems safe to the American people, not too extreme or partisan.

 

We elected a guy who started his political career in the living room of an unrepentant domestic terrorist. We elected a guy who sat for 20 years in the Church of a racist, anti-Semitic, and America hating pastor.

Anything can happen.

 

The increasing heat on the scum's asses will be more than enuf to warm all of America, except for the coldblooded.

Yep, that's who I'm talkin' 'bout, Willis!

That'd be 9 more than you?

Wow, you're uppin' yer game for the big fight, eh?

Book it, baby! Your kind will be wishing it was just a tail you're eating =

And...?

 

Zero would lose to Cain or Paul and that is bad .

 

Too early.

 

Better Chinese victory than leftist victory.

 

You're bi-lingual?

 

My wife and sons speak the lingo. I can insult insolent clerks in the rural dialect of Cantonese. But I can't spell it at all.

 

Not a fight at all son, it would be a massacre, conservatives own 98% of all the guns.

Psst....Willis is the only one still standing homey.

 

That's the plan, isn't it? Tank the economy and put the Obama symbol on the bread trucks?


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You mean like happened in 2010? Ya'all lost a historic 63 seats in the House! You will lose 13+ in the Senate in 2012.

 

I suspect you are correct. Glenn Beck (who has been completely on this for years, with audio from SIEU Lerner etc) announced yesterday, that these morons, inclusive of the progressives in the WH, just check mated themselves.

This guy ain't often wrong. Todays show will be laying out the final few moves.

 

This poll worries me.

Obama will not let a little thing like an election stand between him and his free taxpayer funded family vacations in 2013 and beyond.

If he has to declare martial law and suspend the Constitution I think he's fully capable of doing it.