~~>PredictWise shows YUGE bump for Hillary<~~

Discussion in 'Elections & Campaigns' started by bhoyal, Sep 30, 2016.

  1. bhoyal

    bhoyal Active Member

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    Now showing 76% chance of HRC win in November... was down to 65% before the debate.

    :clapping::cool::thumbsup::applause::rock_slayer:
     
  2. yardmeat

    yardmeat Well-Known Member

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    538 is giving her only a 66.3% chance, but it was closer to 55% before the debates. Their numbers had been gradually closing, and it looks like the first debate has reversed that trend. We'll see how the next debate goes, but I have a feeling that he is going to lose the "poise" he had in the first one. We may have seen the end of the hold his handlers had on him leading up to the debates.
     
  3. bhoyal

    bhoyal Active Member

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    the current now-cast on 538 actually is 73.8 to 26.1 in HRC's favor
     
  4. marty_mcfly

    marty_mcfly Member

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    Can you post a link to your sources?
     
  5. bhoyal

    bhoyal Active Member

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  6. Andrew Jackson

    Andrew Jackson Well-Known Member

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    Completely EXPECTED.

    Hillary has been a mortal LOCK for months.
     
  7. marty_mcfly

    marty_mcfly Member

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  8. Jim Nash

    Jim Nash Well-Known Member

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    He's giving Clinton Florida, which makes it more like 99%, so I'm not sure where his current 67% (not 73%) comes from.

    However, I think Trump will more likely take Florida.
     
  9. Ronstar

    Ronstar Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    Nate Silver now says Hillary has a 67% chance of winning on November 8.

    and if election was held today, Hillary would have a 76% chance of winning.
     

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