US economy grows 5.2% in third quarter; higher interest rates eroding momentum

Discussion in 'Current Events' started by dairyair, Nov 29, 2023.

  1. WillReadmore

    WillReadmore Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Nov 21, 2013
    Messages:
    60,364
    Likes Received:
    16,539
    Trophy Points:
    113
    So, you're pretty happy with Biden, then?

    As for supply chain, the COVID disruption was far deeper than shipping, though that was a problem. It also meant that parts and products we were receiving from foreign sources came from companies that disappeared or had severely cut back - meaning that new sources had to be developed or wait times increased to allow these foreign countries to ramp up.

    The reduction in supply of many products was a strong inflationary force.
     
  2. Noone

    Noone Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jun 27, 2021
    Messages:
    14,367
    Likes Received:
    8,498
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Funny?
    johnathan stewart2.jpg
    Inflation went up because of surging demand as the economy recovered from COVID.

    Not always.
    And not one cut taxes and increased the deficit like tRaitor tRump.
    Deficit-by-president.jpeg
    Not true see above. ^^^^
    Which was an affect of an economy recovering from a pandemic.
     
    Last edited: Dec 8, 2023
    dairyair and WillReadmore like this.
  3. WillReadmore

    WillReadmore Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Nov 21, 2013
    Messages:
    60,364
    Likes Received:
    16,539
    Trophy Points:
    113
    If you add tax and then pay down the massive debt in the sky, you are making those individuals you taxed worse off. You do have to consider that fact that their buying power is reduced. Products will cost a larger percent of their total income.

    Of course, we could limit that effect by increasing the taxes of the wealthy or very wealthy, which would not change their lives.
     
  4. WillReadmore

    WillReadmore Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Nov 21, 2013
    Messages:
    60,364
    Likes Received:
    16,539
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Bush conducted significant wars throughout his term and pretty much totally off the books.

    Then, he left Obama a crashed economy.

    Your idea that THAT is what we should be striving for is just monumentally deranged.
     
  5. fmw

    fmw Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Aug 21, 2009
    Messages:
    38,754
    Likes Received:
    14,900
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Taxes reduce peoples' buying power regardless of what government does with the money. That isn't related to inflation.
     
  6. fmw

    fmw Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Aug 21, 2009
    Messages:
    38,754
    Likes Received:
    14,900
    Trophy Points:
    113
    No I view him as the worst president in my lifetime.

    The supply shortage is still with us. It will normalize over time but is still pretty bad.

    Reduction in supply always increases prices. Prices follow supply and demand.
     
  7. Pro_Line_FL

    Pro_Line_FL Well-Known Member Past Donor

    Joined:
    Oct 16, 2018
    Messages:
    26,273
    Likes Received:
    14,315
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Gender:
    Male
    Yes it was a big contributor, and the main problem was the harbors, which operate as near 100% capacity at normal times, and suddenly they had far more cargo than they would handle. If they operated at 80% in normal times then they would hike it to 100% to handle more, but that was not the case
     
  8. WillReadmore

    WillReadmore Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Nov 21, 2013
    Messages:
    60,364
    Likes Received:
    16,539
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Anything that reduces the buying power of the people is related to inflation - one way or the other.
     
  9. nopartisanbull

    nopartisanbull Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    May 5, 2018
    Messages:
    7,306
    Likes Received:
    3,289
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Gender:
    Male
    We will always be at the mercy of OPEC+, behind the eight ball so to speak, and regardless how many more barrels a day we could feasibly produce within X number of months, and here’s the reason why;

    Domestic production; 13 million bpd
    OPEC +; 31 million bpd

    Also, your Drill Baby Drill days are over, meaning; Big Oil will no longer drill drill drill in excess of Demand, and as requested by their shareholders.

    Last, our refineries were mainly configured to process heavy crude/discounted heavy crude such as Canada’s Western Select, and virtually all the oil produced in the U.S. is light crude, hence unsuitable for heavy oil refineries in the Middle west, and Gulf Coast.

    U.S. crude oil exports, mainly light; 4.3 million bpd……December 1st, 2023

    U.S. crude oil imports, heavy; 7.5 million bpd, December 1st, 2023

    Source; YCharts

    Notion; “We should increase our domestic production, and reduce imports”……Makes sense to me, but our oil producers would have to increase their heavy crude production versus light, AND THEY AREN’T DOING THAT.
     
    Last edited: Dec 8, 2023
    dairyair and WillReadmore like this.
  10. WillReadmore

    WillReadmore Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Nov 21, 2013
    Messages:
    60,364
    Likes Received:
    16,539
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Obviously, I questioned if you're happy with Biden's approach to our inflation problem.

    Because it sounds like you are.
     
    dairyair likes this.
  11. WillReadmore

    WillReadmore Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Nov 21, 2013
    Messages:
    60,364
    Likes Received:
    16,539
    Trophy Points:
    113
    I think there were a lot of contributing factors. Shipping is one, perhaps especially given problems like the Panama Canal water problem and shipping security in some areas.

    But, COVID was around the world, and it is their products that we want. They had to build back production. Some of them were hit harder than we were.
     
    Pro_Line_FL likes this.
  12. fmw

    fmw Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Aug 21, 2009
    Messages:
    38,754
    Likes Received:
    14,900
    Trophy Points:
    113
    No I am not. Sorry.
     
  13. Noone

    Noone Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jun 27, 2021
    Messages:
    14,367
    Likes Received:
    8,498
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Wuuut?
     
  14. WillReadmore

    WillReadmore Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Nov 21, 2013
    Messages:
    60,364
    Likes Received:
    16,539
    Trophy Points:
    113
    I totally misunderstood your position and deeply apologize.

    I'll try to do better with the reading.
     
  15. nopartisanbull

    nopartisanbull Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    May 5, 2018
    Messages:
    7,306
    Likes Received:
    3,289
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Gender:
    Male
    Quote; If you tax to pay down debt, there is no change in the money supply

    Well, there has to be a change in the money supply if Uncle Sam were to reduce its FOREIGN holdings of U.S. Treasuries, and a decrease in money supply would increase the value of the dollar, right?
     
  16. mamooth

    mamooth Well-Known Member Past Donor

    Joined:
    Jan 16, 2012
    Messages:
    6,490
    Likes Received:
    2,226
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Gender:
    Male
    As Biden's economy keeps roaring, both the Republicans and the MSM get more upset. It's as if they want America to fail.

    Remember, this is the MSM that universally predicted a recession under Biden, as they also predicted an imminent red wave in 2022. They were wildly wrong in both cases.

    Why does the MSM consistently shill hard for Republicans? Oh, that's right. Conservatives own pretty much own the MSM. Plus, the media makes money off of creating a close horse race, not by reporting the truth. If Democrats look like they're running away with it, the MSM feels they have to stop that.
     
    Last edited: Dec 8, 2023
  17. Bullseye

    Bullseye Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Feb 7, 2021
    Messages:
    12,470
    Likes Received:
    10,786
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Gender:
    Male
    You're not paying attention to the MSM if you think they're shilling for Republicans. You'd read, view and listen to a hell of a lot of MSM before you ever heard a good word about
    [
     
    Last edited: Dec 8, 2023
  18. Condor060

    Condor060 Banned Donor

    Joined:
    Oct 22, 2018
    Messages:
    20,939
    Likes Received:
    15,451
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Gender:
    Male
    Its an effect of (When there’s more money than goods that money can buy, the result is inflation)

    What, did you think you can only have inflation with a pandemic?
     
  19. Patricio Da Silva

    Patricio Da Silva Well-Known Member Donor

    Joined:
    Apr 26, 2020
    Messages:
    32,450
    Likes Received:
    17,445
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Gender:
    Male
    Both were $2 trillion. But Trump's tax cut sent the deficit, on top of the fiat currency infusion, sky high.

    Spending, per se, isn't inflationary. Also, the infrastructure program, though it sounds like a lot, is spread out over 10 years and the projects are needed.
     
    WillReadmore likes this.
  20. fmw

    fmw Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Aug 21, 2009
    Messages:
    38,754
    Likes Received:
    14,900
    Trophy Points:
    113
    No. The money supply is increased by government spending money it doesn't have and hasn't borrowed. The reverse is deflation and results from government taking money out of circulation (basically throwing it away.) It can't increase or decrease in any other way. Government spending money it received in revenue doesn't have any effect on the money supply. Money was moved from taxpayers to government to holders of debt. No change in the amount of money in circulation.

    Right. A decrease in the money supply increases the value of the currency.

    The practice of combining prices (supply and demand) with inflation (expansion of the money supply) is confusing and meant to be confusing. You need to separate the two to better understand the issues you are bringing up. What affects prices and what affects the value of currency have different causes, effects and solutions.

    In other words, the difference is that prices result from supply and demand and are temporary while devaluation of the value of currency results from what I stated above and is effectively permanent. When you or I spend our money on items that have a price increase, some of it is supply and demand and some is needing to spend more devalued dollars to buy them.
     
    Last edited: Dec 9, 2023
  21. fmw

    fmw Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Aug 21, 2009
    Messages:
    38,754
    Likes Received:
    14,900
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Sorry for the bloviation. I was repeating myself. Redeeming a treasury note buys the government a reduction in a liability on the balance sheet. Just like buying an asset it doesn't make money disappear. It just spends some.

    The issue is the source of the money used to make the purchase. If the source is revenue then there is no change in the money supply. If it is spending money the government doesn't have and hasn't borrowed then that expands the money supply.
     
    Last edited: Dec 9, 2023
  22. Pro_Line_FL

    Pro_Line_FL Well-Known Member Past Donor

    Joined:
    Oct 16, 2018
    Messages:
    26,273
    Likes Received:
    14,315
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Gender:
    Male
    No, but in this case Trump used the pandemic as an excuse to pour astronomical amount of new money into the economy, so they went hand in hand.
     
  23. Condor060

    Condor060 Banned Donor

    Joined:
    Oct 22, 2018
    Messages:
    20,939
    Likes Received:
    15,451
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Gender:
    Male
    Do tell, How did Trump do that
     
  24. Pro_Line_FL

    Pro_Line_FL Well-Known Member Past Donor

    Joined:
    Oct 16, 2018
    Messages:
    26,273
    Likes Received:
    14,315
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Gender:
    Male
    Like this. Perhaps you are too young to remember.

    [​IMG]
     
    Last edited: Dec 9, 2023
    dairyair likes this.
  25. fmw

    fmw Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Aug 21, 2009
    Messages:
    38,754
    Likes Received:
    14,900
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Yes inappropriate uses of federal funds arises from all administrations of both stripes. This should have been illegal.
     
    Pro_Line_FL likes this.

Share This Page