Washington has until the end of the year at the most.

Then there will be elections in Taiwan and a simple decision fork - either the US fits in there, making a mess of things, or Taiwan integrates peacefully into the Chinese economy (with all its chip production and the corresponding implications for the global microelectronics market).
Accordingly, it makes no sense for the Russians to hurry, because time works for the Russians, the Americans have deadlines and have to stretch in twine, what resources (money, weapons, diplomatic efforts) to throw in what direction.
And then Israel promptly entered the equation . And the U.S. already needs to send weapons, money, soldiers, aircraft carriers to Israel and shame itself by supporting Jewish war criminals in the UN.
And there is no money, and there is no domestic support for Washington-led wars (neither in Ukraine, nor in Israel), and on the eve of the elections, the flow of American coffins from the Middle East is very unwanted ...
And the twine is no longer on two chairs, but on three. For in addition to the gap between Ukraine and Israel it is necessary to keep Taiwan in mind (otherwise the U.S. will merge without a fight from the main battle, and this is the end).
At the same time, within the US itself, the Republicans' squabbles with the Democrats are blocking any action at all. That is, events are boiling around, and the donkeys and elephants can't accept any document at all.
But then Comrade Maduro intervenes, who is going to return the piece of territory (and the oil shelf under him) that the British took from his country.
Adding piquancy to the situation is the fact that Venezuela's army is slightly larger than the current british army (88,000 vs. 74,000). Not to mention the logistical shoulder.
And, in case of anything, the Americans need to rush in twine in this direction, otherwise all their NATO and numerous other military alliances are worthless (and we have been hinting at this for a long time).
Has the US grown a fourth leg for this twine yet?
The point is that there are still plenty of such situations in the world (when there is a conflict, but it is not resolved because "the U.S. can intervene"). And in case of non-intervention in at least one place, all the others will also start firing "because now you can".
The whole "world order built on the threat of aircraft carriers" (and not on some mythical "rules" that no one has ever seen) is falling apart in real time.

P.S.
In this case, I can't avoid doing what I usually try to avoid doing - going into the space of assumptions.
Putin's recent visits to the Middle East (UAE, SA and Iran) are not just for nothing. A teleconference would have been enough to guarantee OPEC+ oil production cuts.
In light of the presence of the head of the Central Bank of Russia, Elvira Nabiulina, in the delegation, I venture to assume that they are talking about stopping the trade in oil for dollars and creating an independent global platform for such trade (or something like that). And this thing will be stronger than everything else.....

 

An inciteful post. Thank you. You make a lot of sense... I just have a few comments...
- Hamas Soldiers broke into private homes , beheaded babies and raped grandmothers. They TARGETED civilians and carried out unspeakable horror ON PURPOSE. Israel targets Hamas rocket launchers and weapons and, in the process, some civilians are killed. If Hamas didn't make it policy to store weapons and other military assets in hospitals and schools, the deaths could be largely avoided. Why you condemn Israel and not Hamas, puzzles me.
- If mainland China swallows Taiwan, well over three quarters of the world's production of integrated circuits will be under the control of China. The rest of the world will be able to manufacture bricks and pencils, but not much more. Modern society will be at the mercy of China.
- US military power is not based on aircraft carriers, although they are an essential component. Unoccupied enemy territory is still enemy territory. The only war ever won in history strictly with air power, required the use of nuclear weapons. Air power alone doesn't "get it done".

 

LOL! I guess Russian propagandists know more than Xi because Xi has said the CCP needs to be ready to invade Taiwan by 2027. He also said there is a long way to go before they can be capable of success.

 

amazing how some always choose Putin propaganda to push

 

Russia 1.7 T+ China 18.4 =20.1 trillion total GDP

vs

USA 25.1 + Japan 4.9 + UK 2.8 + Canada 1.7 + South Korea 1.9 + Australia 1.8 + EU 17 = 55.2 trillion total GDP.

May be your need some basic math lesson to learn 55 is greater then 20 ?

 

History tells us that if an enemy is discussing his attack in 2027, be ready for him to invade tomorrow.

 

Hi Destroyer of illusions,

I've gotten a bit behind the curve on this, aren't we also planning a war in Nicaragua,
and more war in Syria, and Iran, and Joe tends to threaten anyone at any time, like
on the campaign trail when he threatened a Detroit factory worker?

I don't think Joey will stop at just four wars, I can count another three lined up already.

He says 'we' can afford it, we're America for G sakes.

Pride comes before a fall, or in this case, full-blown hubris.

 

You probably shouldn't be spouting about what 'history tells us'. In October 2021 you confidently proclaimes China was 'primed to invade' Taiwan and went on to predict the invasion would take place within 12 months.....because Biden

http://www.politicalforum.com/index...ritorial-waters-mosco.593299/#post-1073011244

Is the plan here to just keep repeating 'China is ready to invade Taiwan' for as many years as it takes for it to happen & then claim you were correct.

As I pointed out over 2 years ago, China was not 'primed' to invade Taiwan and it is not ready now. But hey, if you just keep repeating that they are ready you may actually get it right one day.

Of course, if it happens after Biden is gone it will still be his fault, because that was always the point of the prediction. I guess that if you hate Biden enough making common cause with a Russian propagandist makes perfect sense.

 

You're wrong. The difference between a civilized person and a savage is that a civilized person has moral and ethical guidelines corresponding to the 21st century.
Let me give you an example. If a criminal, for example, a maniac and sadist, kills his victims in a brutal way, it does not mean that the court passes a sentence to kill such a maniac in a savage and barbaric way. No one in the civilized world at the level of the state would do what the Jews do.
And they kill thousands of civilians, among them women and children. The Jews today behave no better than Goring's sadists.

Other than that, I agree with your point in the comment.

 

You need to look into the political alignments in Taiwan. For example, are you aware of the fact that Taiwan's parliamentary election was won by a party that favors unification with China?
Therefore, we can conclude that the mood of Taiwanese people is in favor of unification with China. And from this we can conclude that a pro-unification party can win the election for the head of Taiwan. And then that's it. The U.S. can't do anything.
Taiwan's presidential election in 2024.

 

Please write with meaning. Don't write meaningless slogans.

 

You're the one who needs at least a rudimentary economics class. The GDP figure is a meaningless figure that has nothing to do with the real economy. The author of the term GDP, Simon Kuznets, has talked about this. For example, the capitalization (contribution to GDP) of Facebook is higher than the capitalization (contribution to GDP) of Gazprom. If Facebook disappears, nothing will change at all. If Gazprom disappears, the world economy will collapse.
The economy of the West is the economy of dog groomers, waiters and Facebook. The economies of Russia and China are real productive economies.

 

Hello, my friend. Of course you're right. All the countries you mentioned are potential hot spots. These and many others. (For example, Argentina could become a hot spot at any time...Africa is pretty much one hot spot.)

It's a mystery to me how anyone could vote for the creature that is now running the US? I always knew that American citizens are very sensible and practical people, but how could one vote for Biden??? ...It's a mystery to me.
The only plausible explanation I can see is that the election was rigged and power in the US was seized by lunatics. And the first victim of these lunatics was the American people.

 

So what? What do you mean by that?
There are photos of a bread queue in the USA.

 

This is what .. the great USSR no longer exist!

 

So what? Did you just find out about this?
The USSR does not exist, but there is Russia, which will soon regain its natural borders. And the process is already underway - Five regions voluntarily joined Russia after the referendum. Several other regions also want to join Russia (Abkhazia, South Ossetia, Transnistria... etc.). And then all the former republics of the USSR + Poland, Finland, Alaska and California will return.
By the way, if you follow the history of Russia's wars, you will see that after each of them, Russia increased its territory at the expense of the aggressor's territories.

 

When Israel targets rocket launchers attacking their country they are totally justified. If Hamas stores the launchers and ammo in hospitals and schools, it is Hamas that is responsible for civilian casualties, not Israel. PERIOD.

 

Alaska, Finland, Poland and California will become part of Russia? Is this before or after the Martians invade Hoboken? If Russia tries to absorb Alaska or California, I hope the hundreds of millions of Russian dead are worth it.

 

I wonder if you've ever heard the term "war crimes"?

 

1. As everyone knows, Russians will go to heaven, but the rest will just die.
2.Russians never forcibly seize territories. All territories VOLUNTARILY AND AFTER A POPULAR VOTE are part of Russia. For example, look at Crimea, DNR, LNR, Zaporizhia, Kherson...etc.Alaska, California, Poland and Finland will also want to return to their native harbor. It's inevitable.

 

I sure have. Intentionally grabbing children and slitting their throats like Hamas did... qualifies. Using rape as a weapon of war as Hamas does... qualifies. Stationing rocket launchers and ammunition in schools and hospitals... qualifies.

Targeting private homes and entering them to kill as Hamas does... qualifies. Attacking a concert and killing indiscriminately... qualifies.

Targeting enemy rocket launchers, ammunition and command and control centers... does NOT qualify.

 

Have another toke.