Yesterday, Trump campaigned in Connecticut

Discussion in 'Elections & Campaigns' started by Statistikhengst, Aug 14, 2016.

  1. Statistikhengst

    Statistikhengst Well-Known Member

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    CONNECTICUT.

    Well, ok....

    http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry...-reports-of-chaos_us_57afe6bbe4b069e7e50592fe

    Ok, I am personally very, very happy about this. For every day that Trump is not campaigning where he needs to, he has essentially campaigned for Hillary Clinton. I can live with this. Thanks, Donald!

    Let's take care of the electoral history of Connecticut, shall we....

    http://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/compare.php?year=2012&fips=9&f=1&off=0&elect=0&type=state

    2012: Obama +17.33%
    2008: Obama +12.37%
    2004: Kerry +10.37%
    2000: Gore +17.47%
    1996: Clinton, Bill +18.14%
    1992: Clinton, Bill +6.43%
    1988: Bush "41" +5.10%
    1984: Reagan +21.90%
    1980: Reagan +9.63%
    1976: Ford +5.17%
    1972: Nixon +18.44%
    1968: Humphrey +5.16%
    1964: Johnson +35.72%
    1960: Kennedy +7.46%
    1956: Eisenhower +27.46%
    1952: Eisenhower +11.79%
    1948: Dewey +1.64%

    Since the beginning of the nuclear age, Connecticut is a 9D/R8 (out of 17) state, but with a longer overall history of voting GOP.
    Sometimes, it has been considered a battleground, for instance, in 1948, 1968, 1976 and 1992 and yes, sometimes we have seen HUGE shifts in the population preference from one cycle to the next (the "swing"), for instance, from 1956 to 1960, 1968 to 1972 and to a lesser degree, from 1988 to 1992. But since 1992, this state has been a very reliable part of the so-called blue wall. Obama's 2008 margin here was the second highest for a Democrat since 1948.

    Now, the Trump campaign may just be eyeing two not so recent polls that only showed Clinton up on Trump by +7 to +8 and one Harper (R) poll that showed a 43/43 tie. LOL. Oh, Harper, Harper, Harper.... Ok....

    Well, I have news for the Trump campaign: two end polls in 2012 showed Obama up by only +7 over Romney and he won by almost 18 points...

    Here the data:

    https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/19fYKtMp7YDHJSduIsktRSkd9wEPjYQS9UNSRAzwjv5I/edit#gid=13

    So, please, Donald Trump, go campaign in Connecticut. And while you are in the NE, I think a trip to Rhode Island could be fun for you, too!!!

    :clapping::clapping::clapping::clapping:

    And please note that this criticism of Trump is coming from a Republican strategist, not the Democrats. Like I wrote, I am just thrilled that Trump is spending time in the NE..... :) You just cannot make this stuff up!

    Derideo_Te perotista TomFitz bigfella Natty Bumpo tsuke Cosmo FreshAir Gaius_Marius joepistole CourtJester Guno mertex Paperview Pardy PARTIZAN1 toddwv liberalminority Vandalshandle wolfsister77 Ronstar PeppermintTwist bwk akphidelt2007 bois darc chunk btthegreat Gorn Captain Andrew Jackson bigfella
     
  2. Doug_yvr

    Doug_yvr Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    After Rhode Island maybe he could spend a few days in New Hampshire.
     
  3. spotdogg

    spotdogg New Member

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    Or the West coast, perhaps...He is just not really serious about this at all...Just has that need to feed his gigantic ego...Hilarious...
     
  4. bois darc chunk

    bois darc chunk Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    While campaigning in Connecticut makes no sense, it seems to speak to the fact that the professional campaign staff he's hired don't run the show. If you know the election is won in the swing states, why divert attention from the very places you need in order to win? However, that is what they are doing.

    Now, he says he isn't running against Clinton, he's running against the crooked media. :roflol:

    He's flying by the seat of his pants without a map or a sense of direction.
     
  5. EggKiller

    EggKiller Well-Known Member

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    Ct is a heavy democrat base, no doubt.
    The finally got themselves a democrat governor and are finding out life's not a bowl of cherries.
    Between the yard goat stadium fiasco and the empty bus corridor the blue voters see the state sinking in red by bad judgement. It may be ripe for the picking. Even democrat voters are laughing at democrat stupidity in this state right now.
    Dannel Malloy (Dan Dan the tax man) might be good enough for speeches at the DNC but he's really dropped the ball as governor.
     
  6. PrincipleInvestment

    PrincipleInvestment Well-Known Member

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    Trump is not as cynical as your typical establishment candidate. He doesn't accept that good policy proposals are only well received by members of his own party, ot that Americans are chained to their party. Trumps proposals are designed to benifit ALL Americans, regardless of race, religion, or political association. Unlike Obama, Trump really will "serve all Americans".
     
  7. SillyAmerican

    SillyAmerican Well-Known Member

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    Yes, I think you're right about Trump's motivations. Unfortunately, I think he's wrong: many people are in fact tied to a particular party, and as a result, a good many excellent proposals get tossed by the wayside. A sad commentary about where we are as a nation.
     
  8. MRogersNhood

    MRogersNhood Banned

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    So,Connecticut isn't a state full of Americans? If one was campaigning to be leader of all Americans,why not campaign to them all? :confusion:
     
  9. Hoosier8

    Hoosier8 Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    And here is an OP advertising Trump. Well done.
     
  10. EggKiller

    EggKiller Well-Known Member

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    Well said but democrats only represent those who's votes they are guaranteed. That is why they have groups with seperate promises for each group paid for mostly by groups that do not vote for them.
     
  11. toddwv

    toddwv Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    Report: Trump exhausted, bewildered

    Report: Advisers see Trump as 'sullen, 'erratic,' 'beyond coaching'

    Trump is becoming increasingly erratic as the election season continues. When will he completely snap? How will we actually know he snapped?

    It's apparent that all those amphetamines are starting to catch up with him as his behavior continues to move into the bizarre category.
     
  12. tecoyah

    tecoyah Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    I have come to the conclusion that Trump wants out. He has stated he will drop out if he is losing to HillBill in polls and the way he is acting is virtually the only way he can save face and do so.
     
  13. Doug_yvr

    Doug_yvr Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    Except Hispanics and Muslims.

    - - - Updated - - -

    It will be a smooth transition for him.
     
  14. Derideo_Te

    Derideo_Te Well-Known Member

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    I believe the term is flailing.

    Trump doesn't understand that the behavior that was rewarded by the 8% of the electorate in the primaries does not work amongst the electorate at large. He has another 30% of support simply because he is the GOP candidate but in order to win he needs to appeal to the moderate center.

    Per the quotes you provided above it is apparent that those closest to him were trying to coach him to adapt to what he needs to do to win the GE and had he followed their advice back then he would be in a much stronger position than he is in now.

    But by sticking with his own comfort zone he is living off the applause of the 8% at the rallies and alienating the rest of the nation and, more importantly, the media. Attacking the media just guarantees that every time he effs up it is going to be reported. Even rightwing FauxNoise has joined that bandwagon (with notable exceptions like Hannity) so to turn things around NOW means establishing a working relationship with the media from scratch.

    Paul Krugman nailed it when he predicted that Trump would go into a "Derp Spiral" after the conventions.
     
  15. TomFitz

    TomFitz Well-Known Member

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    I was just looking at Nate Silver this morning. He now places the odds of Hillary winning at somewhere between 88 and 89%.

    But what really struck me was the graph showing how the odds have changed over the course of the campaign.

    http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo

    As you can see, the real, and cataclysmic collapse in Trump's support came in the first week of August.

    This was the week that Donald Trump decided to take on Khazir Khan, or more accurately, his wife.

    Trump, who had previously been given high marks for understanding media (particularly television) clearly had no concept of how the optics of this played in living rooms across the nation.

    I think when it's all over, it may well be faithfully said that Mr and Mrs Khazir Khan were the ones who brought Donald Trump down.
     
  16. Statistikhengst

    Statistikhengst Well-Known Member

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    Those are some really wonderful platitudes and you wrote them very well. However, they have absolutely nothing to do with the OP of this thread at all. Did you take a wrong turn somewhere, or are you simply incapable of responding to written information? Are the words perhaps too large for you?
     
  17. Statistikhengst

    Statistikhengst Well-Known Member

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    Well, let's think about this. If your team is on the losing side, and doubtless the Trump campaign is on the losing side right now, then logically it needs to go and campaign where it needs to win battleground states so it can somehow get to 270 EV. Your question about "americans" is a ridiculous non-sequitor, lacking in adult content. We are all, as adults, assuming that we are talking about Americans in every thread that deals with the 2016 presidential election, since it will be decided by US-Citizens who have a right to vote, who have registered to vote and who show up to vote. I should not need to explain this very elementary point to anyone. So, before you troll again, learn to debate first, like an adult. Thanks.

    - - - Updated - - -

    Uhm, no. And yet another deflection from a Rightist who apparently cannot respond to the actual ideas in the OP.
     
  18. Statistikhengst

    Statistikhengst Well-Known Member

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    I have been watching his temper tantrums with increasing enjoyment and have come to the conclusion that the final nail in his campaign's coffin could be the moment when he soon will refer to female voters as "the vagina vote" or something like that. And in that moment, the vast majority of the GOP will turn it's back on him. I think that many, many, many GOP upper ups are looking for just one more Trumpfquake to decide that enough is enough.

    So, keep your eyes out for the "vagina vote" moment. I suspect that it is coming....

    Anyone wanna bet??? :)
     
  19. Arxael

    Arxael Banned

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    Yep, advertising Trump as a moron. Yes, it is well done glad you agree.
     
  20. cupAsoup

    cupAsoup Well-Known Member

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    This kind of detachment from reality is the reason for Trump's rise. We really need to do a better job with our education system.
     
  21. Natty Bumpo

    Natty Bumpo Well-Known Member

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    At this point, I would not blame Turtle McConnell if he got liquored up on Kentucky rotgut and took a dump in the Capitol Rotunda.


    [​IMG][​IMG]
     
  22. mamooth

    mamooth Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    Trump usually insists on coming back to his NYC penthouse every night. Thus we see things like that trip to CT, which is nearby. If Trump goes somewhere farther out, it's the only event he can do for the day, because he has to spend the rest of the day flying out and back.

    Meanwhile, Clinton will be hitting 4 swing states in a day, because she's fine with staying in a hotel.
     
  23. CourtJester

    CourtJester Well-Known Member

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    It is looking more and more likely that the conspiracy theory that he has been paid to throw the election is the correct explanation for his obviously screwy behaviors.

    - - - Updated - - -

    I think you have figured out why the Republicans oppose funding for public education.
     
  24. Hoosier8

    Hoosier8 Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    No doubt that is the propaganda which plays well to the useful idiots.
     
  25. CourtJester

    CourtJester Well-Known Member

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    Isn't " useful idiot " a synonym for " Trump supporter "
     

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