Once again its Election Day so I thought we might indulge in a little speculation about the outcome before all the returns are in (who knows when that will be). My prediction is that historical trends will hold true and Democrats will gain seats in the House and control of that chamber. If I expect an anomaly in this election it will be in the Senate where I anticipate Republicans to pick up a few seats. My wild card in this election is the inclement weather that will be affecting a large part of the country today. The Weather-Election Gurus say bad weather favors Republicans but I'm not counting on that. Voter enthusiasm is high and I don't think a little wind and rain is going to keep a significant number of people from the polls (then again, an insignificant number can be the difference between victory and defeat). To conclude, I expect Dems to gain control of the House and Republicans to solidify control of the Senate. Ultimately, this means gridlock in DC for the next two years and more Leftist prayers for Ruth Bader Ginsburg's health. If there are any more openings on the SCOTUS between now and 2021 Trump will be putting more judges on the high court bench.
Same here: I think Dems will gain narrow control of the House and Repubs will hold the Senate, maybe gaining seats.
I think regardless of the outcome, the New Democratic Party and their MSM ministry will go wild. Whether that includes tear gas and riot police depends on the final outcome. Or, maybe not....
It used to be that it didn't matter much who won what. Democrats and Republicans were both Americans. That is no longer the case. Democrats have become a globalist party that represents everyone from everywhere on earth in American politics. A vote for a Democrat is a vote to surrender Americas sovereignty to globalist and fundamentally transform America into a global socialist police state. I think Republicans will hold the house and gain seats in the Senate as the American people are wising up to the globalist game.
I agree, and I don't think they will do as well as I thought they would do a year ago. Senate RINOs aren't flailing all over the GOP like they were in 2017, the economic numbers that came out last week were outstanding and finally, there is the backlash from the Left's Festival of Feces during the Kavanaugh hearings. Even though I expect Dims to take control of the House I don't expect them to do so by the margin I would have predicted a year ago (something along the lines of the GOP rout of 2010). In fact, the thought of Republicans maintaining control of the House, which is entirely plausible, was inconceivable to me in November 2017.
Bold prediction. I think the economy could get Independents to break Republican, and the great news in last week's reports won't show up in the last polls. As for the widening gap between the parties, I would add that the ideological purification we're seeing in both parties - Democrats are becoming more socialist and Republicans are becoming more conservative - has a lot to do with the increasing polarization we're seeing today. The interesting part about this trend is that it will eventually leave centrists with no party to call home, which opens up the potential for a third party that might consist of the likes of JFK Democrats and "establishment" Republicans.
If my predictions hold true Trump won't need to pick up that pen. Any partisan Democratic initiatives coming out of the House won't even get a hearing in the GOP-controlled Senate. It will be 2010 to 2014 in reverse.
Since 1934, George W. Bush is the only President to post gains for their party in both the House and the Senate. Nothing will be different here.
If your party is losing you should try to go towards the middle. Democrats refuse to acknowledge they lost the last election and are doubling down on going left. They lack a message other than trump hate.
Seems like the DNC settled on 1 of the 50 excuses Hillary had for blowing the double digit lock she had in 2016 ... Bernie's protest voters. The DNC's "stars" are all socialists, and all of them have been extremely well funded. The DNC thinks Bernie's commies can tip the scales today. We'll see how well the commies do today in Texas, Florid, NY ... 46 Democratic socialists competing today. ::
Speaking strictly on their so-called platforms, can you imagine 50 Tea Party Senators and 50 Socialist Senators making up the U.S. Senate! I recognize we aren't heading for that, but just imagine the brawl if that ever happened.
LOL - I definitely can imagine that. Given the ideological purification campaigns going on in each party I can see a Tea Partier vs. Socialist showdown coming in the future. In fact, we've already seen the opening skirmishes in this battle: It'll be like the Cold War but this time it will be fought here in America...
"You obviously don't know what socialism is..." ........*nudge nudge wink wink* "Progressive" denials aside, I find that figure astonishing - 46 socialists running under the Democratic banner are competing today. Little wonder the former chair of the DNC had problems articulating the difference between socialists and Democrats: To be fair, I can't tell the difference anymore, either. JFK must be rolling over in his grave...
Given that 26 Democratic Senate seats are up this time and only 9 Republican ones, the GOP could gain a seat despite most Americans, especially women, agreeing in poll after poll, that Trump stinks, and registering their preference for Democratic Party candidates. In the House, all seats on the line means every American votes. Despite GOP-gerrymandered districts giving them a clear advantage, Democrats should gain around 30 seats. Democrats should pick up a few governorships as well, and they, along with more states establishing independent congressional districting commissions, will eliminate that GOP advantage after 2020.
1 Hawaii: Democrat incumbent Mazie Hirono defeats Ron Curtis. easy 2 Tennessee: Republican Marsha Blackburn defeats Phil Bredeson. close 3 Utah: Republican Mitt Romney defeats Jenny Wilson. easy 4 West Virginia: Democrat incumbent Joe Manchin defeats Patrick Morrisey. easy 5 California: Democrat incumbent Dianne Feinstein defeats Kevin De Leon. easy 6 Florida: Republican Rick Scott defeats incumbent Bill Nelson. close 7 Wisconsin: Democrat incumbent Tammy Baldwin defeats Leah Vukmir. close 8 Minnesota: Democrat incumbent Amy Klobuchar defeats Jim Newberger. close 9 Ohio: Democrat incumbent Sherrod Brown defeats Jim Renacci. close 10 Maryland: Democrat incumbent Ben Cardin defeats Tony Campbell. easy 11 Missouri: Josh Hawley defeats incumbent Democrat Claire McCaskill. close 12 Pennsylvania: Democrat incumbent Bob Casey, Jr. defeats Lou Barletta. easy 13 North Dakota: Kevin Cramer defeats Democrat incumbent Heidi Heitkamp. close 14 Mississippi: Republican incumbent Roger Wicker defeats David Baria. easy 15 Michigan: Democrat incumbent Debbie Stabenow defeats John James. easy 16 Nevada: Republican incumbent Dean Heller defeats Jacky Rosen. close 17 Delaware: Democrat incumbent Tom Carper defeats Robert Arlett. easy 18 Nebraska: Republican independent Deb Fisher defeats Jane Raybould. easy 19 Rhode Island: Democrat incumbent Sheldon Whitehouse defeats Robert Flanders. easy 20 Vermont: Democrat incumbent Bernie Sanders defeats Lawrence Zupon. easy 21 Indiana: Democrat incumbent Joe Donnelly defeats Mike Braun. close 22 Montana: Republican Matt Rosendale defeats incumbent Jon Tester. close 23 Maine: Independent incumbent Angus King defeats Zak Ringelstein and Eric Brakey. easy 24 Minnesota special: Republican Tina Smith defeats incumbent Karin Housley. close 25 New York: Democrat incumbent Kirsten Gillibrand defeats Chele Farley. easy 26 Wyoming: Republican incumbent John Barrasso defeats Gary Trauner. easy 27 Massachusetts: Democrat incumbent Elizabeth Warren defeats Geoff Diehl. easy 28 New Jersey: Democrat incumbent Bob Menendez defeats Bob Hugin. close 29 New Mexico: Democrat incumbent Martin Heinrich defeats Mick Rich and Gary Johnson. close 30 Texas: Republican Ted Cruz defeats Beto O'Rourke. easy 31 Arizona: Republican Martha McSally defeats Krysten Sinema. close 32 Virginia: Democrat incumbent Tim Kaine defeats Corey Stewart. easy 33 Washington: Democrat incumbent Maria Cantwell defeats Susan Hutchison. easy 34 Connecticutt: Democrat incumbent Chris Murphy defeats Matthew Corey. easy 35 Mississippi special: GOP hold easy 36 Arizona special: GOP hold. close
A few observations: I'm especially pleased that Kris Kobach was rejected in Kansas, and Scott Walker in Wisconsin. I'm disappointed that Gillum fell slightly short in Florida, and Cordray in Ohio. Most others went as I had expected. Democrats taking governorships from Republicans in Michigan, New Mexico and Maine is a plus - especially with women winning in all of them. (Guam as well!) A Republican woman was elected governor in Iowa, and in South Dakota. For the first time, a pair of Native American congresswomen are headed to the House, in addition to two Muslim congresswoman. Massachusetts and Connecticut will also send black women to Congress as firsts for their states, while Arizona and Tennessee are getting their first female senators. As I had noted, "Blue Wave" was media hype. The progress is more akin to the steadily rising sea level of anthropogenic climate change. 2020 will see it persisting, especially with women now energized to more fully participate in self-governance.
