https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.we...ler/the-gop-gets-wave-of-good-polls?_amp=true Looks ok’ing very good for the Republicans! The childish nonsense the Democrats displayed during the Kavanaugh hearings hurt them badly!!!!
Polls must always be taken with a grain of salt. They suggest probability, opinions, and sentiments. They're not always a clear indication of what's going on or what will happen.
This is no shock. Everyone has been predicting the Senate GOP would likely gain a couple of seats because Dems are defending everywhere. Hell it was my prediction almost a month ago.
Lol, now THAT is hilarious! Every day the Dems dig themselves a deeper grave. Feinstein ran off millions just today!
I also don't think it would be a huge shock if the Senate maintained a 51-49, or at worst, 52-48... if I were a Trumpublican, I wouldn't bank a single toss up Senate seat... not Az, not Tn, not Nv
Not really, Kavanaugh, nothing to do with it. What has everything to do with the GOP holding the senate is the fact that 26 Democrats are up for reelection vs. only 9 for the Republicans. It's all about numbers. Also important is that Group one, Montana, North Dakota, Indiana, West Virginia, Missouri are all deep red states with Democratic senators. Florida also has a Democratic senator in a tossup position, put it in its own group by itself. Then Group three has three Republican senators in Arizona, Nevada and Tennessee. We probably should add Texas to that list. So let's make Group three four states with the addition of Texas. You're looking at 6 Democratic and 4 Republican seats in play. The rest look safe.
Blue Wave? New Midterm Projection Shows Republicans Holding the Senate...… The odds [of a Democratic Senate takeover] aren’t any better now than they were several months ago. Republicans have made progress in several key states (North Dakota, Missouri, Arizona) even as they’ve suffered setbacks in others (West Virginia, Indiana, Montana). All told, it’s looking most likely that the Senate will remain closely divided, with Republicans holding their narrow advantage past 2018. Republicans will blow a historic chance at picking up many seats, given the uniquely favorable Senate map, while Democrats are still struggling to ensure that all their vulnerable red-state senators return to Congress despite a favorable national environment. Here’s the Senate math: If Republicans can defeat two of the six vulnerable Democratic senators up for reelection, they’ve locked down their majority for another cycle. Strategists from both parties agree that Republicans have pulled ahead in North Dakota, where Sen. Heidi Heitkamp is facing a spirited challenge from Rep. Kevin Cramer. Public polls show Missouri's and Florida’s contests as pure toss-ups, while Indiana remains highly competitive......snip~ https://townhall.com/tipsheet/guybe...ion-shows-republicans-holding-senate-n2518606 Blue Wave.
Everyone expected the Senate to stay red and thought the House would as well. Then the GOP retirements from Congress started.
I agree, North Dakota looks good for the GOP at this time, although Arizona and Nevada doesn't. With the vote of Kavenaugh going to take place sometime next month, some of those senate races could be decided by a no vote. Tester, McCaskill, Manchin, Donnelly might doom their reelection chances voting no in such deep red states they supposedly represent. The senate may be about to become much more interesting.
The Repubs will pick up the 2 they need. McCaskill even if she votes yes is going to get knocked off. Repubs will pick up a minimum of 4. I think the Demos come up 2 short for the House. National Polling is skewered again.
The Dems are continuing to make themselves more and more undesirable. I don’t think they stand a chance!
If you remember, on DP I did monthly forecasts. Here is my 1 Sep 2018 forecast for the House. House of Representatives Currently the House of Representative consists of 240 Republicans and 195 Democrats. For 2018 the Republicans have 58 seats at risk of switching parties, up five from last month vs. 7 for the Democrats, same as last month. The Democrats need a net gain of 23 seats to take control of the House. They’ll gain 35, 12 more than needed. This is an increase of one seat from last month. The number of safe seats in the House now stands at 182 seats for the Republicans, 188 for the Democrats. The rest are up for grabs. The new House will have 230 Democrats to 205 Republicans. I think having 42 current incumbent Republican House members deciding not to seek reelection, a record number for the GOP. That hurts as open seats are a lot easier to win or switch than beating an incumbent. Also the Democrats has raised a lot more money this cycle. An old saying, follow the money works better than polls at times. In the senate for 1 Sep I had it a wash. The Democrats picking up Arizona and Nevada, the Republicans North Dakota and Indiana. Now I haven't done any research since then, some things could have changed. As for the SCOTUS, I'm more interested to see how Tester, Donnelly, McCaskill, Manchin, Heitkamp votes. A vote not to confirm could doom any of those five being the vote will be taken prior to the midterm. Still, when the Democrats have 26 seats up vs. 9 for the GOP, a wash in my opinion is a huge victory for the Democrats even if they fail to retake the senate. 2020 will be reverse of the 2018 election with the Republicans defending 22 seats to the Democrats 12.
