Gallup: Romney 51 .... Obama 45 ; Likely Voters. Rolling Average

Discussion in 'Current Events' started by Eighty Deuce, Oct 17, 2012.

  1. theunbubba

    theunbubba Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    You have GOT TO be kidding. He was baby sat through that debate like a school child. His sitter stepped in and protected him from the big ol' meanie several times. The women of America saw that and laughed at him. The weakness was palpable. Gallup has Romney up by 6 now in a rolling average? Hell, after last night he will hit 10.

    Don't forget. Gallup has a distinct turnout advantage for the democrats of about 6%. And Romney still has a 6 point lead. There's no way in hell that Democrats turn out in any where near the numbers they did even in 2010. This election is going to look like Nixon-McGovern.

    The down ticket effect is going to be massive.
     
  2. The Wyrd of Gawd

    The Wyrd of Gawd Well-Known Member

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    That poll can't be right; Romney guaranteed that Obama will get 47%.
     
  3. klipkap

    klipkap Well-Known Member

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    Allow a foreigner to answer your questions
    1) Yes they do question the numbers
    2) Yes it can be answered in other ways

    And here's why: http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs...eading-president-obama-by-six-in-gallup-poll/
    Is there support for this other than from the Washington post?
    Sure there is. Try here: http://www.rasmussenreports.com/pub...ministration/daily_presidential_tracking_poll
     
  4. godisnotreal

    godisnotreal Well-Known Member

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    and yet, obama is 2 to 1 odds to win on intrade
     
  5. WatcherOfTheGate

    WatcherOfTheGate New Member

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    When Obama was leading in the polls then polls didn't matter. Now Romney leads in the polls and they matter.

    Some of you are severly lacking in integrity.
     
  6. Eighty Deuce

    Eighty Deuce New Member Past Donor

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    So place a bet ! See who will take up your contract if on Romney, and wanting someone to cover Obama at 2:1 !
     
  7. Iriemon

    Iriemon Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    [​IMG]
     
  8. Lowden Clear

    Lowden Clear Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    Bloody hell 82, I started a dupe thread on you. And I looked close to see if anyone else posted the Gallup poll, or so I thought.

    Is this race over?
     
  9. Lowden Clear

    Lowden Clear Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    Bloody hell 82, I started a dupe thread on you. And I looked close to see if anyone else posted the Gallup poll, or so I thought.

    Is this race over?
     
  10. Eighty Deuce

    Eighty Deuce New Member Past Donor

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    This had run its course yesterday. Pretty much anyway.

    I think it interesting now to look at the four states where Obama is now focused. Where they are evidently putting max-resources with buys and appearances.

    New Hampshire. Ohio. Iowa. And Nevada.

    http://www.nationalreview.com/campa...w-firewall-ohio-iowa-new-hampshire-and-nevada

    Those four combined are 34 electoral votes. (NV-6, IO -6, OH - 18, NH - 4)

    If you take the remaining states, and divvy them up exactly as to the latest polls, with Obama taking toss-ups WI, MI, and PA, and Romney such as CO, FL, VA, then before we dicide those final four, Obama has 247, and Romney 257. 270 is a win, and 269 a tie, btw.

    OBTW, two states are not winner-take-all. Obama may get one from NE, and Romney one from ME, offsetting the other taking the rest of each state.

    I believe the internals in both camps show things breaking as I have noted. With those four being the most toss-up remaining. Outside of that, Obama's best chance to snatch one form Romney is CO. Romney's to take is WI. If either grabs more than that from the other, we have a winner, as it means a greater shift than would just come down to those final four.

    Getting good polls out of those four states, which have not over-polled Democrats beyond the 2008 model, which was skewed Dem to begin with, and which wil not be repeated, are what to watch. Further, we have a reasonable expectation that the 2008 model for every state will shift several points back to the GOP in models, as the GOP is way up on all enthusiasm meters.

    We should know on election night by the time things shape up in PA and OH. If Obama takes PA by 5 or less, or actually loses it, then he's in big trouble. It is hard to imagine either one winning without Ohio, although Romeny can take NH, IO, and NV, and win.

    So its not over. :)
     
  11. DonGlock26

    DonGlock26 New Member Past Donor

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    It's all over, Obama fan bois.

    Get your Obama campaign buttons:


    [​IMG]
     
  12. GiveUsLibertyin2012

    GiveUsLibertyin2012 New Member

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    UPDATE: It is now Romney -52% Obama -45% POST debate numbers.
     
  13. Eighty Deuce

    Eighty Deuce New Member Past Donor

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    And OBTW, this surge started after Biden "won" the VP debate.

    Don't "mess" with Joe ........ he's capable of it all by himself .... ;)

    [​IMG]
     
  14. GiveUsLibertyin2012

    GiveUsLibertyin2012 New Member

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    yeah,I noticed that.Karl Rove said something interesting and that is no one in the history of Gallup that was polling over 50% has ever lost the election.I'm not getting my hopes too high right now,but it's looking pretty bad for Team Obama.Especially coming off what was supposedly a victorious game changing debate performance.
     
  15. akphidelt2007

    akphidelt2007 New Member Past Donor

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    So please tell us how 2014 is going to go. BWAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA!!!

    - - - Updated - - -

    Say good morning Obama!
     
  16. jackdog

    jackdog Well-Known Member

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    something to think about. Gallup has Obama at 47 approval 45 disapproval, since they were so wrong on the OP poll does that mean that Obama could really be at 40 approval 50 disapproval ?
     
  17. akphidelt2007

    akphidelt2007 New Member Past Donor

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    Or it could be 55 approval 40 disapproval.
     
  18. Montoya

    Montoya Banned

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    LOL Romney landslides.
     
  19. akphidelt2007

    akphidelt2007 New Member Past Donor

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    Lol, there's some gems in this thread! Many from the same guys talking now! You would think they'd have an epiphany after the election, but apparently nothing phases them.
     
  20. Iriemon

    Iriemon Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    I had forgotten how Obama made history.
     
  21. akphidelt2007

    akphidelt2007 New Member Past Donor

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    LMAO!!

    - - - Updated - - -

    LMAO!!!
     
  22. jackdog

    jackdog Well-Known Member

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    not likely going by all the other polls, that is why I like the RCP averages which currently has him at 46.7approve 49.3 disapprove. Any one poll is suspect, a half dozen averaged out has a better chance of being accurate
     
  23. akphidelt2007

    akphidelt2007 New Member Past Donor

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    Look at all these genius predictions by our resident conservatives! And they are still trying to predict things, lol!!! Can't write a funnier script than this!
     
  24. Iriemon

    Iriemon Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    LOL
    ...........
     
  25. theunbubba

    theunbubba Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    WOW. You have to reach back to the period before Hurricane Sandy and idiot Governor Christy handed Obama the election with the aid of the IRS. You need a crutch, we know. Now get a life.
     

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