And the 47th president of the United states is...

I'll put in an early punt and call Donald Trump.

I honestly thought that team Kamala had it in the bag, particularly after that toxic comedian captured the essence of MAGA all too well. But they let the angry old Biden off the leash for a moment and the whole thing has been turned around into a double/ triple whammy win for team Red. At the level of popularism and sensationalism they will trounce the opposition. The Nazi rally is already forgotten.

All Trump and Musk need to do is keep up big dick energy and sense of fun for another four or five days. Vance will oh-so-subtly cover the gay vote.

 

I'm predicting Harris, with a surprise dominating win. I think the younger generation has actually been activated, mostly by climate change, and that polling companies haven't figured out how to actually get their opinions. Anyone voting because of climate change sure as hell isn't voting for Trump.

 

There wasn't a nazi rally.

 

Plenty of Nazis shouting down Kamala at her rallies lol. Everyone knows who’s the boss there, and it ain’t her

 

Boo-hoo? Some say there was.

 

She doesn't have a fraction of the positive energy that Trump does in his rallies. But better than biden.

 

There are a surge of Republican early voters in the swing states. If that swing is proportionately the same on election day they will win. If it's just the Musk effect getting a few voters out early and election day is business as usual for GOP they will lose.

 

I predict more 'irregularities' at 4am...

 

In the 2020 U.S. presidential election, there was a phenomenon that caught attention: large batches of votes, counted late at night or early morning (including around 4:00 a.m.), which significantly increased the vote count for Joe Biden in certain states like Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania. Here’s an overview of what happened and why:

1. Vote Counting Dynamics: In many states, early voting, absentee ballots, and mail-in ballots—significantly increased due to the COVID-19 pandemic—were processed and counted later than in-person ballots on Election Day. These ballots disproportionately favored Biden, as Democrats were more likely to vote by mail than Republicans in 2020.


2. Late-Reporting Counties: In urban counties where Democrats had more support (such as Milwaukee in Wisconsin and Wayne in Michigan), there was a large volume of mail-in ballots, and these counties also reported their results later in the night. When these ballots were finally counted and reported, they led to substantial jumps in Biden's vote totals.


3. Transparency and Batch Reporting: Some states, like Wisconsin and Michigan, reported these mail-in ballots in large batches rather than incrementally. This “batch reporting” system created large, sudden increases in vote counts for Biden, especially in the early morning hours when those batches were released.



The timing and size of these vote updates led to widespread speculation, but after extensive recounts, audits, and investigations, no evidence of fraud was found related to these vote increases. Courts and independent bodies affirmed the accuracy of these counts.

 

Harris squeaks by in PA and Wins the EC...

 

Hopefully they're sensible enough to count the mail-ins first or not in batches or something like that...so that some of the skull thick, slackjawed morons on the right don't get trigger happy.

 

I haven’t given up hope. JLo just spoke and that is a HUUUUUGE voting block

 

PERFECT Scenario...
Hoping for Harris to WIN PA and MI and WI just like that in 2024...
Sounds like a plan...

 

They will anyway…. More people going to jail for Trump

 

Yes it is and was a known phenomena - early counts favour republicans. It is just diaper Donnie whose ego is so fragile he cannot process losing

 

Not much of a prediction… Some of us “conspiracy theorists” got tipped off…

 

Interesting... 48 minutes long... but has lotsa stuff... Thanks to Glenn for his hard work.. it is all a possibility in a close election... what happens if Trump wins..

Glenn Beck covers how the Democrats will cheat in this election... they were dumb enough to put it in writing.. it was "war gamed" out on the possibility of a Trump win in the last election and may well be the playbook for this election....

It will be one law suit after another as Commie-la has stated they have their "teams" in the ready...

 

I'm predicting that we won't know until November 7th.

 

The courts didn't count those votes, so the courts never affirmed the counts to be accurate and legitimate.

If those counts were legit, there wouldn't have been a reason to kick all of the Republican polls watchers out of the room and cover the windows

 

If Trump wins, there will be violence all over the country.

 

See, here's the problem. The courts don't give a rats ass what you think. Better luck next time, buddy.

 

I don't give a rat's what the court care about and don't. But, that irrelevant, because you made an erroneous claim.

 

There’s no in the bag. That is wishful thinking and probably coming from the heart. This race nationwide and in all 7 battleground states have been in a basic tie since the middle of August. That is all polling has been within the MOE. Not once since the middle of August has either candidate taken a lead in the nationwide polls or in the 7 battleground states outside the MOE. Does it really matter what happens between now and election day? Over 55 million folks have already cast their early ballot or sent in their mail in ballot. That’s around a third or more of the expected vote. What happens or what has happened means nothing to those who already voted.


As for the rest, looking at all the data it seems between 90-95% of them have already made up their minds as to who they’ll vote for. Less that 5% are undecided taking those who intend to vote third party into consideration. That’s what left to influence. Then only if that less than 5% live in the 7 battleground states, those who live outside the 7 battleground states are irrelevant. Those states have already been decided. I more than willing to call those other 47 states today plus D.C. giving Harris a 226-219 lead in the electoral college. The other 7 battleground states, too close to call.

 

I believe the polls are over compensating for being wrong in 2016 and beyond. Early voting is showing that Women are coming out to vote in large numbers. If this continues on election day, mango is toast. There is no enthusiasm for Trump this election cycle other than with his supporters. In 2020, he was able to gain enthusiasm from voters that didn't like either party, he can't relive that same magic from 8 years ago. He has given up on the economy being a top issue because our economy is kicking ass. All he is running on now is fear and xenophobia, which is not going to work with the majority voting bloc of Women and the youth.

I predict Kamala will win and team trump already knows this and that is why they are already talking about fraud in battleground States. Hell, he's taken to xitter about that and has a plan already set up with the speaker of the house because he knows he's gonna lose. Lol

 

The outcome will depend on the distribution of the polling error. If the polling error varies both ways randomly for the 7 battleground states, then the Electoral College vote could be close. However, if the polling error is systematic and varies in the same direction for all the battleground states, then the EC vote could be very decisive.

The bigger problem is that even with a decisive EC margin, the vote in each of the battleground states could still be close, delaying the outcome until the last mail ballots straggle in, until recounts are completed, and until court challenges are decided. Another Brooks Brothers Riot is likely.