Get used to it.

Discussion in 'Political Opinions & Beliefs' started by Lee Atwater, Jul 17, 2021.

  1. Melb_muser

    Melb_muser Well-Known Member Donor

    Joined:
    Aug 13, 2020
    Messages:
    10,607
    Likes Received:
    10,943
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Gender:
    Male
    No, you're just blocking discussion by cutting and pasting articles. I'm not disputing the articles so you're not refuting anything. You clearly have no interest in what actually drives climate change.

    Again, I'm happy to go through the details of any of these articles. Pick one and we'll go through it.
     
  2. Melb_muser

    Melb_muser Well-Known Member Donor

    Joined:
    Aug 13, 2020
    Messages:
    10,607
    Likes Received:
    10,943
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Gender:
    Male
    Bring up a publication, one that we can read together and I'll go through it with you.
     
  3. Jack Hays

    Jack Hays Well-Known Member Donor

    Joined:
    Nov 3, 2020
    Messages:
    28,561
    Likes Received:
    18,096
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Gender:
    Male
    Peer reviewed journal publications are certainly "beyond blogospheres and personal publications," so it seems to me you're the one who has no interest in the question.
    Thanks, but I need no help to understand the papers.
    I'm comfortable with my understanding of "what actually drives climate change."
     
  4. Melb_muser

    Melb_muser Well-Known Member Donor

    Joined:
    Aug 13, 2020
    Messages:
    10,607
    Likes Received:
    10,943
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Gender:
    Male
    No no, I won't be trying to teaching you anything. I'll be very well behaved, I promise.

    We'll just chat about it together and go through the method and statistical analysis, the discussion, some of the background literature in the introduction. We can also talk about the history of the journals their publication company(s) and the journal's peer weighting. We can even talk about some of the politics that surrounds some of the authors, including those refute it. I.e both sides.

    To add full breadth to the conversation we would naturally discuss the context within which the theories fit. Are there any other theories that support or refute the data and/or the inferences made by the authors. I.e. how does the article inform the science of climate change? I think it would be an extremely interesting process for both of us.
     
  5. Flynn from Az

    Flynn from Az Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jun 30, 2021
    Messages:
    1,396
    Likes Received:
    1,022
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Gender:
    Male
    There’s a point when people who claim they follow the science surrounding climate change can still manage to sound dogmatic.
    I think carbon is most likely the cause of climate change, but I don’t act like it’s set in stone, because that is the farthest you can get from the scientific method, which is the foundation of science.

    There’s no room for debate, that’s blasphemy!!!!
    Any scientist who disagrees with climate change consensus is a heretic, burn him/her at the stake!!!!!!!!
     
  6. Flynn from Az

    Flynn from Az Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jun 30, 2021
    Messages:
    1,396
    Likes Received:
    1,022
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Gender:
    Male
    Put your scientific credentials on the table. How many times has your work been published, and peer-reviewed?

    He’s JUST a Physicist, and nothing more!!
    Take a step back, and look at what you’re saying.
     
  7. Aleksander Ulyanov

    Aleksander Ulyanov Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Mar 9, 2013
    Messages:
    41,184
    Likes Received:
    16,184
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Gender:
    Male
    This is because we DO "do something". Do you WANT to see rivers boiling or what?

    The 'deadline' just means we will get to the point where it will be very difficult to reverse or even mitigate a little the changes that are coming..
     
  8. Aleksander Ulyanov

    Aleksander Ulyanov Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Mar 9, 2013
    Messages:
    41,184
    Likes Received:
    16,184
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Gender:
    Male
    And your degree in climatology is from.....
     
  9. Flynn from Az

    Flynn from Az Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jun 30, 2021
    Messages:
    1,396
    Likes Received:
    1,022
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Gender:
    Male
    “The scientists’ comments below explain that besides this cosmic ray hypothesis, the solar radiative forcing fluctuations are also insufficient to explain climate changes over the past decades—in contrast to the radiative forcing due to the increased greenhouse gases released by human activities, which matches the magnitude of the observed warming.”

    Pierce and Adams (2009) Can cosmic rays affect cloud condensation nuclei by altering new particle formation rates?, Geophysical Research Letters

    Based on the results of these simulations, we conclude that – barring any strong biases due to model uncertainties – the ion-aerosol clear-air mechanism is too weak to explain putative correlations between cloud cover and the solar cycle. This does not rule out the potential legitimacy of the connection between cosmic rays and clouds by other physical mechanisms. Further work needs to be done with detailed cloud models to determine the strength of other potential mechanisms.
     
    Last edited: Jul 19, 2021
  10. Tipper101

    Tipper101 Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Oct 22, 2008
    Messages:
    6,218
    Likes Received:
    3,322
    Trophy Points:
    113
    more non specifics. What a surprise
     
  11. Melb_muser

    Melb_muser Well-Known Member Donor

    Joined:
    Aug 13, 2020
    Messages:
    10,607
    Likes Received:
    10,943
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Gender:
    Male
    He's a physicist, not a climate change scientist

    I have enough publications to know how to critically review a paper and enough to be qualified to comment amongst my peers on PF. Need a necessary to be able to understand how scientific discourse works.
     
  12. yabberefugee

    yabberefugee Well-Known Member Past Donor

    Joined:
    Feb 23, 2017
    Messages:
    20,802
    Likes Received:
    9,081
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Gender:
    Male
    The indigenous people to our continent (the darlings of the American left) even they knew how to manage forests with fire!
     
    Tejas likes this.
  13. Melb_muser

    Melb_muser Well-Known Member Donor

    Joined:
    Aug 13, 2020
    Messages:
    10,607
    Likes Received:
    10,943
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Gender:
    Male
    *Publications are not necessary (just a correction, I was dictating to my phone)

    That's also my take from reading the Shaviv and Svensmark papers that Jack Hayes puts forward. (My emphasis in bold). Of course, on their blog they sing a different tune.
     
  14. Derideo_Te

    Derideo_Te Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Oct 3, 2015
    Messages:
    50,653
    Likes Received:
    41,718
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Three Mile Island was clean, safe nuclear power?

    Chernobyl was clean, safe nuclear power?

    Fukushima was clean, safe nuclear power?

    250,000 tons of highly radioactive spent fuel is clean, safe nuclear power?

    It will take THOUSANDS of YEARS for that nuclear WASTE to become "safe".

    Is that what YOU have "consistently advocated" for?
     
    Rampart likes this.
  15. Rampart

    Rampart Banned

    Joined:
    Oct 27, 2017
    Messages:
    7,880
    Likes Received:
    7,054
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Gender:
    Male
    i have actually heard similar arguments. it is more likely that alien invaders prefer a warmer planet with higher atmospheric co2 and have promised the oil companies that they can provide the invaders with a food supply.

    "to serve man" alien best selling book
     
  16. doombug

    doombug Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    May 19, 2012
    Messages:
    56,871
    Likes Received:
    22,778
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Don't forget about cow farts.
     
    21Bronco likes this.
  17. Jack Hays

    Jack Hays Well-Known Member Donor

    Joined:
    Nov 3, 2020
    Messages:
    28,561
    Likes Received:
    18,096
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Gender:
    Male
    The view I find persuasive is that of Professor Nir Shaviv, Chairman of the Racah Center for Physics at the Hebrew University of Jerusalem, and an IBM Einstein Fellow at the Institute for Advanced Study.
     
  18. Jack Hays

    Jack Hays Well-Known Member Donor

    Joined:
    Nov 3, 2020
    Messages:
    28,561
    Likes Received:
    18,096
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Gender:
    Male
    That's 2009. Long since superseded by subsequent research, especially:
    Increased ionization supports growth of aerosols into ... - Nature
    https://www.nature.com › ... › articles › article


    by H Svensmark · 2017 · Cited by 66 — Clouds are a fundamental part of the terrestrial energy budget, ... chamber used in Svensmark et al., and shown schematically in Fig.
     
    21Bronco likes this.
  19. RodB

    RodB Well-Known Member Donor

    Joined:
    Apr 29, 2015
    Messages:
    22,576
    Likes Received:
    11,230
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Gender:
    Male
    No, I did not miss your reference. The question is, "can you point to any observable effect from climate change other than a small seemingly increase in global temperature?" Observable does not cover conjecture, predictions, or opinions.
     
    21Bronco likes this.
  20. Jack Hays

    Jack Hays Well-Known Member Donor

    Joined:
    Nov 3, 2020
    Messages:
    28,561
    Likes Received:
    18,096
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Gender:
    Male
    Let's take the most important first.
    Increased ionization supports growth of aerosols into ... - Nature
    https://www.nature.com › ... › articles › article


    by H Svensmark · 2017 · Cited by 66 — Clouds are a fundamental part of the terrestrial energy budget, ... chamber used in Svensmark et al., and shown schematically in Fig.
     
    Last edited: Jul 19, 2021
  21. Lee Atwater

    Lee Atwater Well-Known Member Past Donor

    Joined:
    Nov 15, 2017
    Messages:
    45,914
    Likes Received:
    26,955
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Gender:
    Male
    Reviewed by his peers who are physicists?
     
  22. Jack Hays

    Jack Hays Well-Known Member Donor

    Joined:
    Nov 3, 2020
    Messages:
    28,561
    Likes Received:
    18,096
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Gender:
    Male
    Reviewed by the reviewers selected by the climate science journals in which they were published.
     
  23. Lee Atwater

    Lee Atwater Well-Known Member Past Donor

    Joined:
    Nov 15, 2017
    Messages:
    45,914
    Likes Received:
    26,955
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Gender:
    Male
    You do realize these are things you can look up for yourself, right?

    https://climate.nasa.gov/effects/
     
  24. Lee Atwater

    Lee Atwater Well-Known Member Past Donor

    Joined:
    Nov 15, 2017
    Messages:
    45,914
    Likes Received:
    26,955
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Gender:
    Male
    Sounds like a fun bunch. Never the less, his theory is not accepted as credible by the vast majority of actual climate scientists.
     
  25. Jack Hays

    Jack Hays Well-Known Member Donor

    Joined:
    Nov 3, 2020
    Messages:
    28,561
    Likes Received:
    18,096
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Gender:
    Male
    As Albert Einstein noted, one is all it takes.
     
    RodB likes this.

Share This Page