Monthly Climate Fact Check

Discussion in 'Environment & Conservation' started by Jack Hays, Oct 13, 2023.

  1. Jack Hays

    Jack Hays Well-Known Member Donor

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    And yet the data are accurate and make the point, your evasions notwithstanding.
     
  2. Bowerbird

    Bowerbird Well-Known Member

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    Oh! Bless! Another astroturf site! You do find them don’t you!
    https://polarbearsinternational.org/news-media/articles/polar-bears-climate-change-denial-machine
    Okay because if you use the same criteria for making business decisions you are using for climate science you are setting yourself up to be ripped off.

    1. Don’t confuse bad journalism with good science. The first link which is supposed to support the claim that “they” are “vigorously promoting” fake numbers is not to an actual research paper but to an article in “the guardian” which did NOT claim what they say it does
    2. Citing yourself. This relies on the fact few will actually click links to check on citations so claims can be made and links put into an article which actually just leads to a circular chase
    3. Cherry picking note that the author, if they were truly looking at an entire population, would be including ALL areas and reports - they don’t
    So your so called “proof of scientific fraud” is actually a rant about media write ups about one issue

    try again
     
  3. Bowerbird

    Bowerbird Well-Known Member

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    Again I ask if this was a business case and you were presented with information designed only to “prove” one outcome, an outcome that looks favourable to you but one that does not agree with any other financial institutions assessment of the data . A business case sourced from a dodgy site - would you invest?
     
  4. Jack Hays

    Jack Hays Well-Known Member Donor

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    Sorry, but my investment decisions are none of your business. Please stay on topic.
     
  5. Bowerbird

    Bowerbird Well-Known Member

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    I am not inquiring about your business transaction I am offering a hypothetical. The fact you will not answer that hypothetical speaks volumes
     
  6. Jack Hays

    Jack Hays Well-Known Member Donor

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    Well, no. You're merely evading. The site claims to have been created by professional meteorologists and climatologists with over 25 years experience in surface weather observations. I suggest you focus on the data rather than wasting my time.
     
  7. mamooth

    mamooth Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    They're called "thermometers", which measure this thing called "temperature", which shows that September 2023 was the hottest month in the historical record, which goes back to 1880. Proxy temps show it's the hottest month in thousands of years.

    Thermometers are not a model. Satelliate observations are a model. Thermometers are hard data, the best data. Deniers deliberately throw away the best data, which marks them as practicians of pseudoscience.

    Actual scientists will never toss away the best data because it's politically inconvenient, but deniers depend on that tactic.
     
    Last edited: Oct 18, 2023
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  8. Jack Hays

    Jack Hays Well-Known Member Donor

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    Actually, thermometers show nothing of the sort.
    The Temperature.global compilation of actual temperature measurements from surface stations has September only slightly warmer than the average monthly temperature of the past 8 years and 9 months, and far from the warmest month since January 2015.

    [​IMG]
     
    Last edited: Oct 18, 2023
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  9. Bowerbird

    Bowerbird Well-Known Member

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    “Claims to have been made”. So who are these people and more importantly who do they answer to? And I have critiqued the data. It is a classic cherry picked misrepresented obfuscation of the facts. The very presentation is misleading to the extreme.
     
  10. Bowerbird

    Bowerbird Well-Known Member

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    Again trying to pass off a graph that I no way resembles any graph published by any of the dozens of validated sources on the internet.
     
  11. Jack Hays

    Jack Hays Well-Known Member Donor

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    Do you dispute the data's accuracy? Since the claim only goes from 2015 to the present, and the data presented cover precisely that period, the allegation of cherry picking is ludicrous.
     
    Last edited: Oct 18, 2023
  12. Bowerbird

    Bowerbird Well-Known Member

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    That graph that they are all crowing about is very interesting as it is cherry picked to only the last eight years and is only of the “deviations” in temperature. Since there is more than one way of measuring a deviation it is just another shell game with a missing pea
     
  13. Jack Hays

    Jack Hays Well-Known Member Donor

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    Data Sources
    NOAA Global METARs
    NOAA One-Minute Observations (OMOs)
    NBDC Global Buoy Reports
    MADIS Mesonet Data



    Our Process
    [​IMG]
     
  14. Bullseye

    Bullseye Well-Known Member

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    So your answer "No I got nothing so I'll wise-ass my way out of this".

    By the was that record high in September wasn't real on any thermometers; it was developed from an algorithm and is about as useless as calculating the average zip code of the United States.
     
    Last edited: Oct 18, 2023
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  15. Bowerbird

    Bowerbird Well-Known Member

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    Nope! As I have said over and over and over (and this is why it feels like the “dead parrot sketch). The data has been cherry picked and manipulated. We know that 2016 was a very hot year due to a massive El Niño so it is taking that as it’s “norm” and doing a weird calculated “deviation” from that point
     
  16. Bowerbird

    Bowerbird Well-Known Member

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    Yep! This is exactly what raised my suspicions - what methodology are they using to calculate the “deviations”?
     
  17. Jack Hays

    Jack Hays Well-Known Member Donor

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    Please read the post. The explicit (and only) point is to compare 2016 and 2023.
     
  18. Jack Hays

    Jack Hays Well-Known Member Donor

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    Ask them.
    Temperature.Global API

    Our API is free to use, no registration is necessary.

    Global Temperature - Sample Request
    http://temperature.global/api.php

    Sample Response

    Array
    (
    [temp] => 57.35
    [dev] => 0.15
    [city] => Goeree
    [country] => Netherlands
    [count] => 59565
    )


    Response Format
    temp - The current global temperature in degrees F
    dev - The current global temperature deviation from 30 year global average in degrees F
     
  19. Bullseye

    Bullseye Well-Known Member

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    And I bet you have no problem with the cherry-picked and manipulated "world temperature".
     
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  20. Bowerbird

    Bowerbird Well-Known Member

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    Was it? What is your proof for this contention? Keeping in mind that was a GLOBAL temperature and for the data to have been manipulated multiple sources and sites would have to have also falsely manipulated the data. See my previous posts on this thread showing the comparison between the graph in the OP and other world recognised authorities
     
  21. Bowerbird

    Bowerbird Well-Known Member

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    Proof? Even conspiracy theories need proof
     
    Last edited: Oct 18, 2023
  22. Bowerbird

    Bowerbird Well-Known Member

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    Again it is NOT the data itself :roll:
     
  23. Jack Hays

    Jack Hays Well-Known Member Donor

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    So what?
     
  24. Jack Hays

    Jack Hays Well-Known Member Donor

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    Ah, so you are a conspiracy theorist.
     
  25. Bullseye

    Bullseye Well-Known Member

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    You need to dig a little deeper how that "global" temp was CALCULATED (not measured). And the net of sensors gathering the data had massive gaps in it - which the "experts" twiidling the digit for the massive number of missing data points. On top of that with 70% of the globe's surface being water where data points were rare.
     

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